TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof FOKUS, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom51c22,451$11,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,087.6563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked FOKUS71c10,878$7,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,726.0692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom54c9,745$5,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.296,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom45c9,659$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,327.333,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom47c7,960$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.452,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom42c7,038$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.234,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked FOKUS55c6,999$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.4475056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom24c3,000$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.541,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed FOKUS50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed FOKUS50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom57c1,933$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.43,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FOKUS52c1,630$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.61,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Phantom49c1,585$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.3328434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FOKUS38c1,483$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.591,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked FOKUS1c1,350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.516311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS61c1,281$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.42,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom38c1,223$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.981,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Phantom17c1,160$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9410333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked FOKUS52c1,006$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1219546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Phantom36c946$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.4429154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed FOKUS55c907.56$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0616850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS38c904.25$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.042,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Phantom50c885.02$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5340542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Phantom44c880.05$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.92,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom48c867.31$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.923,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Phantom39c820.33$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.062,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Phantom37c811.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3340449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom37c810.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.952636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…7458backed FOKUS23c809.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.793930.8%12 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS42c790.24$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.125,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Phantom60c771.28$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.433663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FOKUS78c750$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.51,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom70c740.39$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1252750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom41c713.08$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.92,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…e373backed Phantom73c712.23$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed FOKUS70c648.12$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.866457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom70c646.79$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.27,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS29c645.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Phantom65c596.2$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS47c593.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.624,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked FOKUS50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom39c515.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.261,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed FOKUS63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS44c499.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.642,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed FOKUS62c470.26$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Phantom38c464$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.685,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom40c453.68$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.741,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccce…58dabacked Phantom69c404.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed FOKUS77c391.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom37c375.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.712,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Phantom44c371.3$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.262,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked FOKUS53c357.14$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.284346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Phantom56c354$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.467742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed FOKUS57c352.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Phantom74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.541050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Phantom75c348$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8735848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phantom50c332.68$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0775833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Phantom52c327.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.622,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Phantom48c302$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Phantom76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Phantom77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6915044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed FOKUS55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15435153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Phantom71c260.09$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe800…6bfbbacked Phantom24c259$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.842128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Phantom21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked FOKUS60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Phantom65c249.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7520562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x924b…4aeebacked FOKUS40c247.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Phantom76c246.05$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0517449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Phantom74c236.49$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4944675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Phantom51c236.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.660032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed FOKUS30c234.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6533950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS55c222.08$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.751,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom51c205.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.414,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Phantom54c200.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Phantom33c200.74$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.558542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Phantom52c200.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.159145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed FOKUS51c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.530247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Phantom60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Phantom57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8649143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked FOKUS76c197.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407f…5ca2backed FOKUS27c182.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Phantom50c182.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Phantom67c182$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4145754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Phantom37c181.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0837140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Phantom49c174.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Phantom28c174.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.598637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS49c169$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.032,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked FOKUS67c166.66$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2433060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed FOKUS65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10432845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Phantom37c159.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed FOKUS63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS62c158.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FOKUS32c157.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked FOKUS54c156.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4330450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Phantom56c155$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.488240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked FOKUS54c154.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3311446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS46c153.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.373,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed FOKUS62c150.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Phantom70c150.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1620154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.