TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc96…d916

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$313
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO5) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$402.95
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$332.96
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$641
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$561
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.08
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+480%+$959.94
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+191.5%+$861.87
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$683
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$1,061.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$550.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$617
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$443.42
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$625.92
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$628.33
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$112.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.59
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+342.2%+$357.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.84
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.3
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.02
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.16
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$368.4
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$636.87
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+296.4%+$2,370.84
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$378
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$915.94
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.34
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$231.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+316.9%+$1,178.9
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+128%+$409.42
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.52
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.63
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.59
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+403.2%+$183.53
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.27
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$886.22
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+159%+$823.6
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.29
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 3 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.06
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$306.31
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.1
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$349
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$467.68
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$716.1
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$989.13
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.66
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 Winnerbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.