CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787db68a19cf6a2eb828c66ac85f0939cc1871973ac1817caf8023c2ba70ea5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,128,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,298,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,128,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 66c | 102,721$67,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,993.16 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 66c | 55,943$36,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,020.5 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 34c | 38,867$13,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,221.86 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Falcons | 29c | 34,546$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spirit | 62c | 29,585$18,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…85dbbacked Spirit | 64c | 21,664$13,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,775.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Team Falcons | 10c | 20,468$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…10bdbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 19,883$6,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,254.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 63c | 19,129$12,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,044.59 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 16,216$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.64 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 15,176$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 15,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Spirit | 66c | 14,316$9,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.4 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 13,940$5,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 64c | 13,638$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.92 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Team Falcons | 27c | 13,485$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.22 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…b7a9backed Team Falcons | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Team Falcons | 37c | 11,015$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 46c | 10,227$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.93 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Team Falcons | 36c | 9,014$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.51 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 9,000$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 36c | 8,857$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed Spirit | 52c | 8,607$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Spirit | 67c | 8,302$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.66 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit | 64c | 8,251$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.35 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 44c | 7,567$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 63c | 7,230$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.16 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed Team Falcons | 27c | 7,167$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 7,100$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Team Falcons | 37c | 7,082$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.96 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 6,730$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.27 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Falcons | 39c | 6,501$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 6,372$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.24 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 36c | 6,368$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.32 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 6,100$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.4 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Spirit | 63c | 6,069$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.53 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…893ebacked Spirit | 47c | 6,064$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 13c | 6,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Spirit | 64c | 5,690$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Team Falcons | 36c | 5,565$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 5,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.98 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 73c | 5,354$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.16 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Spirit | 44c | 5,251$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 60c | 5,250$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.08 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.98 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 4,859$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Falcons | 33c | 4,819$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.45 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,750$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.5 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Falcons | 34c | 4,706$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Spirit | 67c | 4,659$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Falcons | 34c | 4,594$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.08 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…2f5ebacked Team Falcons | 34c | 4,424$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Team Falcons | 35c | 4,338$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.64 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 4,305$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.93 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 59c | 4,264$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Spirit | 72c | 4,189$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 64c | 4,020$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.84 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 3,843$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.87 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons | 38c | 3,803$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.3 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 3,671$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.59 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 34c | 3,566$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.78 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Team Falcons | 36c | 3,409$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Falcons | 33c | 3,330$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 3,323$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.24 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Team Falcons | 35c | 3,250$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.5 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…4933backed Team Falcons | 34c | 3,226$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…b005backed Spirit | 62c | 3,223$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 67c | 3,182$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 3,109$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.62 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Spirit | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Spirit | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,000$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.36 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…1338backed Spirit | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Spirit | 67c | 2,980$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,934$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Spirit | 66c | 2,921$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.13 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 2,900$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Spirit | 66c | 2,780$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.18 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Spirit | 47c | 2,750$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Falcons | 37c | 2,706$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.22 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 2,627$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Team Falcons | 34c | 2,576$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed Spirit | 78c | 2,575$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…6b5ebacked Spirit | 75c | 2,534$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,519$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.43 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Spirit | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,447$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.37 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 30c | 2,399$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.51 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…2f1cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 2,383$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.22 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 36c | 2,355$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.79 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons | 35c | 2,333$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.55 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 2,280$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.4 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 2,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Team Falcons | 37c | 2,246$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.