TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,640 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Spirit37c15,680$5,803 inLost-$5,803.47040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons63c7,809$4,920 inWon+$2,889.4612749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons63c6,000$3,780 inWon+$2,219.999855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit38c3,129$1,178 inLost-$1,178.095,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Team Falcons64c1,000$640 inWon+$36014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons63c887.77$559 inWon+$328.481,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit37c683.37$255 inLost-$255.092,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons69c674.91$464 inWon+$211.0389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons62c629.27$393 inWon+$236.2735745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons63c590.5$369 inWon+$221.444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons63c500.55$315 inWon+$185.249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Spirit31c500$155 inLost-$15538844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Team Falcons60c449.43$270 inWon+$179.7721351.2%109 W · 104 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Spirit35c425.05$150 inLost-$15038841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Falcons63c401$253 inWon+$148.3734943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons65c338.89$219 inWon+$1201,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit36c313.07$112 inLost-$111.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Team Falcons63c312$197 inWon+$115.4410053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons60c300$180 inWon+$1201,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Spirit37c270.27$100 inLost-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Falcons63c268$169 inWon+$99.165658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Spirit37c265.41$98 inLost-$98.214929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Team Falcons63c209.27$132 inWon+$77.4324840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons65c201.84$131 inWon+$70.6411151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons58c200$116 inWon+$8447147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Falcons63c200$126 inWon+$7411435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons60c193.24$116 inWon+$77.398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Team Falcons67c171.91$115 inWon+$57.2121346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Team Falcons64c147$94 inWon+$52.928958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons66c52.33$34 inWon+$18.022,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons60c46.86$28 inWon+$18.7451348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Falcons58c25$15 inWon+$10.51,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Falcons61c20$12 inWon+$7.81,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.