CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8571af5eb1ce158075e66fdf7649d033778faa31c59f01c5fa24af4bd481cb64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 46c | 3,118$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.64 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 1,898$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.78 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Under | 45c | 1,775$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.06 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Over | 54c | 1,748$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 50c | 1,700$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 998.6$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Under | 49c | 479.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 50c | 469.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 421.14$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 54c | 415.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Under | 51c | 351.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 49c | 351.06$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 49c | 339.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Over | 54c | 322.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Over | 53c | 297.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…03d4backed Over | 52c | 255.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…9b1fbacked Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…15bcbacked Over | 50c | 199.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Over | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 55c | 173.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…25c3backed Over | 50c | 168.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Over | 52c | 119.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…7d5abacked Over | 54c | 117.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…fc17backed Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 50c | 100.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…e8d2backed Over | 52c | 94.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…f758backed Over | 55c | 89.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 50c | 84.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 80.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 57.2%151 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…1919backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…3cf9backed Over | 55c | 64.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2c…5e16backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…91b4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…c2fbbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d7cdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…99bfbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +144%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a05abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…01eabacked Over | 55c | 29.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…996bbacked Over | 51c | 29.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…e73dbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…d282backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Under | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…9933backed Over | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…df86backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.