TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c5…c7bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5066%33 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$121.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$201.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$87.78
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$241.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$249.26
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$55.61
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$66.42
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$126.71
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST4717%8 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+672%+$739.9
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$121.83
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$91.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$218.02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$375.28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.63
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$293.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+1,721.5%+$820.86
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$317.35
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$101.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.64
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.8%+$195.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+206.9%+$51.74
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+68.7%+$34.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$437.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$173.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$913.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.58
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$197
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.19
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$348.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.75
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+230%+$139.4
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$107.62
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$10.55
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$48.12
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$61.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26%+$273.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$216.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$348.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$41.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$763.91
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+292.7%+$1,170.82
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$236.98
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$341.76
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-65.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$1,944.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$293.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$34.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.