Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc2482850247b18c236a0173d0315faba0f651d4d27a55ce115ad6f8b3e3359

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $856,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $775,109

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,065 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3d7…ac2bbacked No	73c	54,851$39,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,952.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	28c	36,619$10,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,100.19	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	19c	33,370$6,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,370.84	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fac…433bbacked Yes	1c	26,283$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	40c	24,961$10,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,030.96	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	9c	22,380$1,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,963.71	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes	1c	21,271$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.83	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	41c	17,332$7,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,026.14	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	23c	14,425$3,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,302.06	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	39c	13,538$5,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,314.57	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	11c	12,398$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.32	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…5312backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	28c	9,959$2,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,835.61	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	34c	9,584$3,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,229.28	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	69c	8,458$5,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,866.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	52c	8,428$4,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,392.59	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	34c	8,182$2,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,778.79	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	17c	7,280$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.44	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	28c	7,095$2,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,005.88	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes	28c	6,688$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.05	131	21.4%28 W · 103 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	3c	6,651$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.55	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes	10c	6,434$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.94	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	6,278$4,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,706.7	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked No	30c	6,000$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,188.28	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Yes	70c	6,000$4,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,188	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	46c	5,937$2,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,721.6	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	63c	5,300$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.29	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	45c	5,000$2,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,234.12	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	45c	4,942$2,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,731.12	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	19c	4,879$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.02	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	23c	4,700$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.57	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	24c	4,612$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.56	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	17c	4,333$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.02	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…d6fcbacked Yes	54c	3,697$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	41c	3,673$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.67	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0431…1662backed Yes	31c	3,613$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	25c	3,212$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.21	73	20.5%15 W · 58 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	14c	3,049$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.93	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No	71c	3,023$2,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	45c	2,931$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.37	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	44c	2,902$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.79	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…bafebacked Yes	56c	2,842$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	16c	2,804$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.37	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed No	60c	2,673$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.27	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	22c	2,430$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.52	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	45c	2,416$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.77	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c60…fcf2backed Yes	75c	2,406$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.93	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Yes	24c	2,365$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	58c	2,313$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.22	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	2,300$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.58	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	2,222$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.91	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c68…878dbacked Yes	49c	2,157$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.55	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ed…8808backed Yes	60c	2,146$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.1	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	8c	2,095$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.87	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4224…6babbacked Yes	10c	2,067$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	41c	2,063$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.32	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	22c	2,050$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.75	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…6a71backed Yes	55c	2,036$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.98	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	22c	2,022$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.93	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	44c	1,995$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.95	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Yes	11c	1,973$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.72	86	34.9%30 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	5c	1,960$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Yes	38c	1,930$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.48	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…d12cbacked Yes	56c	1,913$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.38	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	25c	1,900$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.9	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes	24c	1,801$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.09	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,777$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.96	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	70c	1,759$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.91	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes	23c	1,702$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.54	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	56c	1,541$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.99	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	10c	1,532$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.88	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	49c	1,512$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.27	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecc…77dabacked Yes	45c	1,500$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.52	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	31c	1,500$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,496$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	34c	1,453$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.44	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab6…6099backed Yes	21c	1,451$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.92	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes	13c	1,449$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.31	116	18.1%21 W · 95 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	45c	1,400$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.33	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	58c	1,380$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.76	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	1,338$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.63	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742e…d945backed Yes	22c	1,266$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.37	62	21%13 W · 49 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	18c	1,239$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.39	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	34c	1,235$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.05	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc201…eeb2backed Yes	9c	1,201$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.22	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	23c	1,168$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.97	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes	44c	1,148$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	24c	1,110$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.36	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33a…1e9fbacked No	60c	1,092$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.58	99	26.3%26 W · 73 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes	11c	1,080$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd651…c8a1backed Yes	1c	1,054$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…027fbacked Yes	3c	1,042$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5476…cd93backed Yes	1c	1,020$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+624.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	1,009$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.57	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c00…cb2bbacked Yes	28c	1,008$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.94	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x527f…69a3backed No	57c	1,000$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	12c	999.99$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	999.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	3c	999.97$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event