TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1355…6591

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2359.4%22 W · 213 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$84.88
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$168.22
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$326.92
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.23
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+334.8%+$866.27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$185.65
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115.61
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$130.13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$425.36
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.7%+$881.73
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$247.7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43.81
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$147.34
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$312.03
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$245.3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128.22
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.58
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$853.94
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$240.93
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DMG Esports vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Ruddy Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$343
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,644.27
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,990.97
LoL: La BOMBAS vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked La BOMBAS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$769.78
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$896.38
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,659.06
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,710.94
LoL: ZYB Esport vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,329.68
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,508.77
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$590.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$429.57
LoL: S2G Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$439.07
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,104.4
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$4,563.49
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$131.78
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+354.5%+$2,599.74
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$19
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,016.19
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+601%+$3,240.36
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035.03
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$583.72
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,140
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,410.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,141.01
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,992Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,751.52
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs los kogutos (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,755.54
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Counter-Strike: Voca vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,112.2
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,910.79
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,077.14
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+119.6%+$1,669.83
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$164.73
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Tricked (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,066.4
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.4%+$3,668.34
Counter-Strike: home vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked home · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+158%+$1,306.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,444
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,551Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$3,670.98
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,123.38
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$935.98
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.5%+$745.07
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$353.77
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$442
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+229.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.2%+$3,371.82
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$396.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.