Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c94dff54a47e8043d19c9a8e99d82c74caea0d9dc93c5639e2aaf1d5b72ab69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Disguised, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed LYON | 76c | 75,943$57,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,709.16 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Disguised | 16c | 50,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Disguised | 17c | 50,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked LYON | 1c | 19,998$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON | 72c | 19,869$14,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,225.85 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 20c | 19,313$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,431.6 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Disguised | 43c | 17,111$7,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,838.83 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised | 52c | 12,395$6,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.16 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…61f9backed LYON | 38c | 9,361$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Disguised | 42c | 9,044$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.53 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked LYON | 3c | 8,792$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Disguised | 14c | 7,299$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,277.01 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Disguised | 14c | 6,209$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.58 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised | 31c | 5,274$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.48 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Disguised | 20c | 5,097$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.48 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Disguised | 14c | 4,958$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.58 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised | 14c | 4,690$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.38 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Disguised | 14c | 3,780$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised | 33c | 3,679$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.25 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Disguised | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed LYON | 57c | 3,358$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.08 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…c5ccbacked LYON | 18c | 3,311$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 26c | 3,164$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.96 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Disguised | 52c | 3,153$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.67 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 61c | 2,647$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.15 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed LYON | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 75c | 2,365$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.7 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Disguised | 16c | 2,107$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.73 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Disguised | 65c | 2,077$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.76 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…04b2backed Disguised | 35c | 2,017$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.13 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Disguised | 14c | 1,995$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.68 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Disguised | 43c | 1,788$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.58 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Disguised | 21c | 1,775$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.52 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked LYON | 58c | 1,748$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 56c | 1,740$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.52 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Disguised | 50c | 1,525$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.3 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed Disguised | 77c | 1,519$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.93 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Disguised | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Disguised | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.1 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked LYON | 29c | 1,386$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed LYON | 25c | 1,324$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.32 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…5c72backed LYON | 67c | 1,154$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Disguised | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 32c | 1,091$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.09 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Disguised | 29c | 1,063$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.79 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Disguised | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Disguised | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON | 45c | 992.24$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.52 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Disguised | 15c | 939.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.05 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked LYON | 12c | 899.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised | 30c | 835.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.06 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Disguised | 77c | 782.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Disguised | 14c | 760.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised | 55c | 742.57$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 25c | 718.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.78 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Disguised | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed LYON | 4c | 713.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LYON | 39c | 694.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked LYON | 58c | 662.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed LYON | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LYON | 9c | 554$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Disguised | 36c | 551.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.1 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Disguised | 29c | 505.61$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON | 46c | 492.76$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.71 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Disguised | 32c | 488.13$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Disguised | 15c | 476.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Disguised | 79c | 467.42$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed LYON | 61c | 453$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed LYON | 50c | 452.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked LYON | 23c | 450.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked LYON | 21c | 418.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON | 58c | 400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.14 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…f341backed LYON | 40c | 361.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LYON | 78c | 356.68$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked LYON | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…7a3fbacked LYON | 72c | 318.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Disguised | 39c | 303.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Disguised | 17c | 301.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Disguised | 15c | 300.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.01 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Disguised | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed LYON | 60c | 299.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Disguised | 13c | 292.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed LYON | 58c | 283.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Disguised | 16c | 279$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LYON | 50c | 272.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Disguised | 21c | 271.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed LYON | 24c | 267.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed LYON | 17c | 260.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed LYON | 79c | 255.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked LYON | 13c | 255.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Disguised | 15c | 239$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Disguised | 43c | 238.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Disguised | 73c | 237.48$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Disguised | 74c | 227.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked LYON | 58c | 217.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Disguised | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked LYON | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed LYON | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Disguised | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.