Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53234c67a35fb143887c89fa57b3261d592292ffb436cd9244381c51c710f5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Disguised, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 18c | 14,483$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,860.9 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 55c | 9,500$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.49 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LYON | 29c | 7,999$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LYON | 49c | 7,933$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.02 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LYON | 35c | 3,996$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.27 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LYON | 58c | 3,757$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.55 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 66c | 2,909$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.51 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 79c | 2,600$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked LYON | 79c | 2,297$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.38 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Disguised | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Disguised | 19c | 1,819$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.43 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Disguised | 48c | 1,775$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.86 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Disguised | 49c | 1,744$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.96 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised | 49c | 1,708$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.08 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked LYON | 46c | 1,672$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.93 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised | 43c | 1,605$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LYON | 49c | 1,326$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.48 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON | 74c | 1,308$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.19 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed LYON | 4c | 1,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +243.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Disguised | 23c | 1,193$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.98 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 34c | 1,016$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.8 | 373 | 44%164 W · 209 L | -16.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Disguised | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LYON | 2c | 949.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON | 43c | 910$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed LYON | 67c | 860$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON | 44c | 758.74$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 39c | 707.75$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.42 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed LYON | 52c | 667.44$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.07 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked LYON | 15c | 640$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed LYON | 23c | 510$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed LYON | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.94 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Disguised | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LYON | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Disguised | 21c | 451.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed LYON | 37c | 369.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Disguised | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Disguised | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed LYON | 6c | 295.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Disguised | 40c | 291$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Disguised | 19c | 272.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Disguised | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Disguised | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Disguised | 48c | 230.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LYON | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Disguised | 58c | 173.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 48c | 163.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Disguised | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed LYON | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed LYON | 21c | 147.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Disguised | 56c | 141.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Disguised | 50c | 133.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed LYON | 26c | 130.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Disguised | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Disguised | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed LYON | 47c | 107.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 56c | 106.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Disguised | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 680 | 63.4%431 W · 249 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LYON | 34c | 99.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Disguised | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked LYON | 32c | 86.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 31c | 81.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed LYON | 34c | 80.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked LYON | 79c | 79.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON | 68c | 78.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Disguised | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LYON | 79c | 77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised | 24c | 76.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Disguised | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Disguised | 48c | 66.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Disguised | 19c | 63.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised | 27c | 56.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed LYON | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 60c | 54.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Disguised | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Disguised | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Disguised | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed LYON | 46c | 43.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed LYON | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 55c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Disguised | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 986 | 63.6%627 W · 359 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked LYON | 57c | 31.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed LYON | 79c | 28.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked LYON | 45c | 27.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Disguised | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Disguised | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Disguised | 52c | 19.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.