TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Disguised, LYON
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,112 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Disguised18c14,483$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,860.91,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Disguised55c9,500$5,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.491,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON29c7,999$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2981,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LYON49c7,933$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.021,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked LYON35c3,996$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.271,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed LYON58c3,757$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.5560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised66c2,909$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.511,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON79c2,600$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0542,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked LYON79c2,297$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.3817839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Disguised50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00063746.5%296 W · 341 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Disguised19c1,819$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.4315545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Disguised48c1,775$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.8685852.3%449 W · 409 L+35.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Disguised49c1,744$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.9625038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Disguised49c1,708$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.081,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked LYON46c1,672$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised43c1,605$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90963161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON49c1,326$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.481,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed LYON74c1,308$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ce…8f73backed LYON4c1,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+243.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Disguised23c1,193$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.9813136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Disguised34c1,016$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.837344%164 W · 209 L-16.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…50d9backed Disguised23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed LYON2c949.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON43c910$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.992,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed LYON67c860$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57823657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LYON44c758.74$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.852,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Disguised39c707.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4241644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed LYON52c667.44$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.073754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked LYON15c640$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9656317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed LYON23c510$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed LYON65c500$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9486758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Disguised51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked LYON2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Disguised21c451.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1250845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed LYON37c369.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4850643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Disguised22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23410552.4%55 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Disguised32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed LYON6c295.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.413911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Disguised40c291$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5545041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.641,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Disguised19c272.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised23c250$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Disguised25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Disguised21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.138835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Disguised48c230.75$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9133552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LYON74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14839044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised29c189.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6680750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Disguised58c173.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7919053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed LYON48c163.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Disguised22c159.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.091,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Disguised59c150$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6650770%355 W · 152 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed LYON44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed LYON21c147.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5623547.7%112 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Disguised56c141.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6928855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Disguised50c133.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9622654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed LYON26c130.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Disguised57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.916540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Disguised19c130$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31,11748.8%545 W · 572 L+40.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed LYON47c107.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7222349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised56c106.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.643,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Disguised58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4268063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed LYON34c99.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Disguised73c91.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1115149%74 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9192342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked LYON32c86.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4412042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised31c81.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9460124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed LYON34c80.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked LYON79c79.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1921059%124 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LYON68c78.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.131,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Disguised32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1330421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed LYON79c77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8343148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised24c76.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.443138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Disguised23c75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7519339.9%77 W · 116 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed Disguised48c66.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.676440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b30…99cdbacked Disguised19c63.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.413256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised27c56.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68bb…7148backed LYON69c55.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388757.5%50 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised60c54.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Disguised25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.520245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9750…7956backed Disguised31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3917466.1%115 W · 59 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ee…26babacked Disguised57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.37553.3%40 W · 35 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc963…4137backed LYON46c43.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983959%23 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed LYON79c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.811580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised55c34.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3548652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Disguised74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8498663.6%627 W · 359 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf4…3f9bbacked LYON57c31.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed LYON79c28.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2619656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba4…42abbacked LYON45c27.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Disguised80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511559.1%68 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Disguised54c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.634050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Disguised52c19.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.349854.1%53 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.