Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bc0e11e18253f9db4d434234ef3528702cb8c21f225d00aa118f410c57a18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Disguised, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed LYON | 76c | 26,800$20,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.98 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Disguised | 23c | 11,111$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.53 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LYON | 28c | 6,206$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.1 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LYON | 56c | 4,458$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.47 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Disguised | 25c | 4,207$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.67 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised | 29c | 4,150$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.98 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Disguised | 24c | 3,360$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.38 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 59c | 2,939$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.6 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 53c | 2,645$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.39 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Disguised | 60c | 2,500$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.29 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON | 29c | 1,777$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.58 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Disguised | 35c | 1,770$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 23c | 1,706$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.42 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LYON | 41c | 1,630$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.83 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Disguised | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Disguised | 54c | 1,491$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 373 | 44%164 W · 209 L | -16.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 78c | 1,256$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.22 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Disguised | 25c | 1,120$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 1,131 | 30.1%340 W · 791 L | -26.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Disguised | 58c | 1,046$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Disguised | 25c | 1,044$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Disguised | 63c | 1,000$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.15 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Disguised | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Disguised | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Disguised | 62c | 965.05$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON | 75c | 920.72$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Disguised | 32c | 733.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 26c | 594$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed LYON | 50c | 545.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.56 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Disguised | 38c | 537.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised | 70c | 510$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed LYON | 24c | 463.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed LYON | 39c | 446.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…d67abacked LYON | 24c | 443.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Disguised | 40c | 389.15$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 1,013 | 49.1%497 W · 516 L | +29.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked LYON | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked LYON | 45c | 309.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed LYON | 76c | 308.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked LYON | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed LYON | 34c | 298.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Disguised | 62c | 285$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised | 37c | 252.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Disguised | 27c | 251.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Disguised | 24c | 249.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked LYON | 26c | 224.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Disguised | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed LYON | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed LYON | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 844 | 50.1%423 W · 421 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed LYON | 18c | 197.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +185.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Disguised | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Disguised | 29c | 185.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed LYON | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed LYON | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 680 | 63.4%431 W · 249 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed Disguised | 9c | 148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Disguised | 14c | 139.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked LYON | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LYON | 48c | 135.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 58c | 121.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked LYON | 49c | 102.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Disguised | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Disguised | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 25c | 96.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed LYON | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed Disguised | 63c | 93.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised | 36c | 92.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Disguised | 76c | 90.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LYON | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Disguised | 30c | 83.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 963 | 47.7%459 W · 504 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed LYON | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…3f9bbacked Disguised | 25c | 79.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Disguised | 25c | 70.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…71c8backed Disguised | 58c | 67.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Disguised | 53c | 66.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed LYON | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed LYON | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Disguised | 63c | 63.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed LYON | 34c | 62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…3b84backed Disguised | 27c | 61.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed LYON | 76c | 59.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 34c | 56.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Disguised | 53c | 56.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…61f9backed Disguised | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed LYON | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked LYON | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked LYON | 76c | 36.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed LYON | 77c | 31.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LYON | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Disguised | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed LYON | 42c | 23.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked LYON | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…19b7backed LYON | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LYON | 77c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Disguised won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageDisguised won
- LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.