TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc690…ec5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
478
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 50 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT41453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 414 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$93.91
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.8
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$94.57
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.71
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$114.17
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+41%+$32.81
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.59
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Showing 25 of 414 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.79
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.92
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$55.29
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$58.71
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$23.02
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.96
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.74
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.37
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonas Sulzbach be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Brasil 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.