Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1c2a78b5a4889322a8d37d045cf67f785b039606d954e84e6add82228b1522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOS, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked LOS | 43c | 3,876$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.05 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed LOUD | 59c | 2,659$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.08 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked LOS | 39c | 2,146$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LOUD | 57c | 736.37$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.14 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…4f96backed LOUD | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed LOUD | 58c | 650$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked LOUD | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LOUD | 60c | 460.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LOUD | 60c | 333.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed LOS | 42c | 330$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LOUD | 65c | 249$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LOUD | 62c | 197.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed LOS | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…1e72backed LOS | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 41.9%144 W · 200 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LOS | 41c | 156.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked LOUD | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed LOS | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 194 | 50.5%98 W · 96 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LOUD | 58c | 148.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked LOS | 49c | 123.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed LOUD | 56c | 94.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed LOUD | 63c | 77.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed LOUD | 56c | 70.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked LOS | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LOS | 42c | 52.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed LOUD | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 261 | 49%128 W · 133 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed LOS | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 466 | 41.4%193 W · 273 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed LOS | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked LOS | 49c | 44.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 365 | 60.3%220 W · 145 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked LOS | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 562 | 28.6%161 W · 401 L | -32.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked LOS | 41c | 36.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed LOS | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…681ebacked LOS | 38c | 33.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed LOUD | 60c | 33.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 587 | 55.4%325 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LOS | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LOUD | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked LOUD | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD won
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.