TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe015…6ffd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,256
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT96048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 960 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,337.52
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.33
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$33,599.99
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17,128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$24,871.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$775.99
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,999.99
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$836.8
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23,033Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$29,633.38
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,095Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$6,227.55
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,781Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,661.51
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$2,772.76
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18,112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$13,794.01
Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,812Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,701.31
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,745Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,520.94
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$2,110.04
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$6,960.88
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$77.33
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,254.45
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,964Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$6,007.92
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,849Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$4,259
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$39.77
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46,428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$14,178.56
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.75
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.68
Showing 25 of 960 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT15245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$580.38
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,910.08
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,986Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,099.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18,893.5
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$9,961.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,514.2
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,550
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)backed DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.14
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$1,724.34
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,845.9
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,000
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,746.86
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,330
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,749.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38,999.89
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,058.31
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,750
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,999.93
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,331.43
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,399.9
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20,699.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25,999.98
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20,499.97
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$137.13
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$47,800
Spain to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$12.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$221.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$491.9
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$2,019.56
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$20,875
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$5,733.18
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,750
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,230.25
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$5,870.05
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,568.28
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,315
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,772.63
France vs. England: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.52
Will Erling Haaland score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$51
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$163.85
Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$65.59
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$4,097.49
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.08
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14,000
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91%+$110.54
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$8,462.15
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.68
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$58.38
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$4,112.58
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$487.56
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$7,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,039.18
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,189.52
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$23,371.62
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41,673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11,077.59
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,321.36
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.81
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111,783Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$96,200.58
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.47
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$165.13
Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$875.16
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$118.56
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,323.29
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$2,132.67
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35,186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$53,192.9
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.45
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,176.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$3,735.24
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,541.75
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,499.92
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,799.99
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,499.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.85
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,249.98
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,846.49
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,503.23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$221.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$227.39
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$574.07
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$146.36
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$478.27
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,924.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$55,799.93
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,227.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23,358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16,914.09
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$440.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.98
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$244.91
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,760.14
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,867.27
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,750
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$6,163.65
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12,750
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.43
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,128.35
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$86.79
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,645.93
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.55
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,400
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,250
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: New York City FC O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,897.33
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$358.24
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,511Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,157.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,927.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,616.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,356Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$15,666.08
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,937.92
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,236.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$931.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,569.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,926Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,316.46
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.59
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,099.94
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12,749.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,408.46
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)backed Universitatea Craiova CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5,249.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$11,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$6,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,523.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF América leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.