MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe199f7d72f3a7a7f7b0e2b0f2f547842fb36eaced8bfa00f12811795c9a77fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 33,517$20,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,406.95 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 26,983$17,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,687.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed New York Mets | 43c | 23,010$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,896.05 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 19,526$7,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,810.58 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 17,431$10,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.69 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 48c | 16,044$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 11,552$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 10,480$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.53 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 9,549$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 26c | 9,440$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 8,871$6,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.62 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 39c | 5,804$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.61 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 31c | 5,659$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 41c | 5,255$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 33c | 4,374$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 4,315$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 4,152$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Mets | 40c | 4,141$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.39 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 3,844$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.44 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 29c | 3,674$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 40c | 3,486$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.4 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 41c | 3,317$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 41c | 2,835$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.66 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 2,818$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.54 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 33c | 2,811$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.53 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,466$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 2,109$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.73 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,073$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.15 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 29c | 2,015$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.77 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99db…97eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,827$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,806$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Mets | 31c | 1,803$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.98 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed New York Mets | 33c | 1,443$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.14 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,270$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,218$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 26c | 1,196$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,177$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 39c | 1,122$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.53 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,050$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,035$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,022$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.46 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 986.65$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 40c | 982.47$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 40c | 951.81$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.27 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 21c | 932.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 43c | 840$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…409bbacked New York Mets | 40c | 740$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed New York Mets | 56c | 739.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.39 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked New York Mets | 40c | 718.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed New York Mets | 44c | 682.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 645.1$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Mets | 46c | 633.76$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.71 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 13c | 608$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 604.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 600.01$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 588.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.53 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 587.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 565.84$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 480.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 40c | 470.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 452.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 32c | 450.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 427.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 43c | 420$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets | 41c | 418.57$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 400.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed New York Mets | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 50c | 398.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked New York Mets | 43c | 390.34$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 362.49$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 43c | 360$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 43c | 351.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 43c | 320$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 304.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 41c | 284.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 40c | 271$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed New York Mets | 31c | 256.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed New York Mets | 50c | 244.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked New York Mets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed New York Mets | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Mets | 45c | 237.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets | 34c | 234.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Mets | 39c | 234$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.