TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof FURIA, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed 9z54c58,849$31,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,320.7141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA46c46,153$21,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,329.165,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked 9z54c45,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.915245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z54c40,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,499.9275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked FURIA47c33,646$15,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,813.537040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed FURIA39c26,539$10,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,305.2610935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA45c25,377$11,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,419.4720354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked FURIA49c20,430$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 9z51c18,517$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,073.281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91da…1bc1backed FURIA46c18,319$8,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,426.852025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked 9z53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.9836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FURIA47c10,702$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked 9z55c10,198$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.6314145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked 9z53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.982458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb5d…85dbbacked 9z55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked 9z55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0504731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA46c8,076$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.1748948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 9z54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked FURIA47c4,918$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.577454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 9z55c4,474$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.4653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked FURIA45c4,458$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.614639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA46c4,404$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.022,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 9z53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed 9z55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed FURIA41c3,339$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.9819543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed 9z59c3,314$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.5636450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked 9z55c3,009$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.175658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked FURIA46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3802030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed 9z51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed FURIA20c2,910$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed 9z55c2,526$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffb1…13e7backed FURIA46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.911450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked 9z55c2,042$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.7410635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed FURIA46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 9z52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked FURIA45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed FURIA46c1,925$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.754647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked FURIA46c1,739$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA46c1,683$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.3139157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z54c1,637$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.051,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA11c1,516$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.292,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FURIA49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked FURIA46c1,432$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked FURIA46c1,386$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed FURIA22c1,322$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5e…ba7ebacked FURIA22c1,229$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed FURIA46c1,222$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.127751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed FURIA46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55232346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked FURIA46c1,157$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed FURIA46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed FURIA46c1,043$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed FURIA49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed FURIA46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4603333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked 9z54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9319047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed FURIA45c864.02$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.816940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z54c839.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.427753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA45c806.65$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed FURIA46c721.74$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked FURIA46c699.89$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4510454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed 9z55c681.92$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.518848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z51c656$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4437157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed FURIA46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x792b…fb71backed FURIA46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed FURIA46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed FURIA46c646.72$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed FURIA46c639.87$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.349959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed FURIA20c619.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed 9z54c600$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked FURIA46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27622954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed FURIA46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27616749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked FURIA46c588.9$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2717240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed FURIA46c583.68$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4935953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d9…b694backed 9z54c569.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa01a…3aeebacked FURIA49c551.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.363240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed FURIA46c540.36$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked 9z55c529.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.283528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed FURIA46c510.87$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23522444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked FURIA45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed FURIA46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309243.5%40 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked 9z54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23089248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed FURIA46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed 9z55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed 9z55c460$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2077651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed FURIA46c457.17$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed 9z55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5514743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked FURIA46c445.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7312846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed FURIA46c429.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4837855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x105a…fc4ebacked FURIA47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x896e…acebbacked FURIA46c412.83$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed 9z55c395.33$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.99842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA47c381.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.182,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed FURIA46c377$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4211151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x783f…c3e7backed 9z55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed FURIA22c358.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8483543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…2bd9backed FURIA49c351.02$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.