CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1405514d49f938fff9f65a6b6d24f17fb250b85d039cbde20fdef420f90dd89a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 41c | 10,103$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.8 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 9,285$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,438.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 58c | 7,205$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.25 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.97 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 57c | 4,097$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.07 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Over | 43c | 2,995$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4715…dc31backed Over | 68c | 2,184$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 31c | 1,927$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.37 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.03 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 55c | 1,057$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.32 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 43c | 1,048$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 58c | 1,038$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…a9c1backed Over | 53c | 910.14$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.15 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 48c | 888.25$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed Over | 42c | 825.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 36c | 672.25$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Over | 43c | 660.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.51 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 42c | 605.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.22 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 67c | 587.63$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Over | 43c | 569$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Over | 43c | 509.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 64c | 440$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 68c | 414.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Under | 59c | 413.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Under | 57c | 404.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 38c | 380.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 69c | 364.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 30c | 328.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Over | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 43c | 310$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Under | 52c | 309.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 58c | 285.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 66c | 253.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 58c | 248.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 43c | 240$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 27c | 238.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 62c | 216$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 21c | 210.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over | 50c | 204.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 69c | 198.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 62c | 195.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Under | 57c | 195.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 41c | 174.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 65c | 173.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 58c | 171.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Under | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 58c | 170.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 30c | 159.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 154$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…1a3ebacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ef30backed Over | 43c | 148.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 148.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 127.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 40c | 123$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Under | 58c | 121.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 43c | 110.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 56c | 109.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Over | 42c | 109.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over | 43c | 108.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 100.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…5573backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 42c | 99.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 48c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 61c | 81.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 79.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Over | 57c | 77.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 75.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 59c | 75.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 55c | 72.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…f7b1backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 48c | 69.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Over | 66c | 68.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 42c | 60.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 43c | 58.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over | 52c | 58.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over | 45c | 58.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 66c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Over | 43c | 51.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…88fdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…cf03backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.