TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cd1…f7b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$9.25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+213%+$72.42
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$23.81
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$14.19
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$28.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+87%+$23.48
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$38.25
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$23.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$17.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$18.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$50.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$16.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$31.25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$7.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$14.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.