TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,688,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,982,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,688,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No41c93,057$38,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,382.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c88,617$53,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,162.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c66,381$40,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,197.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf6…432fbacked Yes61c62,184$38,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,973.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes65c59,760$38,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,858.815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes49c58,228$28,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,828.0319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No38c54,990$20,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,896.139845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No38c53,606$20,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,370.0915249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes61c53,268$32,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,774.5617949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes60c49,309$29,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,585.044734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No39c48,600$18,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,847.7520448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No38c44,443$16,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,888.4721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No44c42,157$18,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,485.1149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c39,865$17,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,236.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes61c39,569$24,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,431.9221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c36,044$14,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,208.6429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No39c35,427$13,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,816.4322846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes57c30,594$17,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,007.284748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No38c29,999$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.786627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes60c28,600$17,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,449.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No38c27,524$10,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,459.2825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c26,002$10,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,229.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes62c23,185$14,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,821.2818047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No40c22,000$8,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,769.913345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No40c18,731$7,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,428.371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed No43c18,605$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes61c18,123$11,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,067.9536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed No38c17,000$6,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4604235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Yes61c15,053$9,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.053548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No42c14,202$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.951,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No39c13,993$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.6121333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c13,451$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.131,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No46c13,204$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.1928042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No39c12,999$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.6320731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No39c12,819$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.339253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c12,143$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.5156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7164…9db6backed Yes60c10,509$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.861560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked No4c10,129$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.882630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed No39c10,070$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.35250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9429646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c9,438$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c9,345$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No39c9,240$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.614139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No49c8,795$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.1844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No38c8,553$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.094740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9361…9c2bbacked Yes61c8,197$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5231644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c7,641$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes62c7,500$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No51c6,601$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.6174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…0f20backed Yes62c6,517$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No39c6,464$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d8…e8f2backed No41c6,400$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6241625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe2…2957backed Yes60c6,277$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.885750.9%29 W · 28 L+9.4wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes54c5,599$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.236134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes57c5,395$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed No49c4,790$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.6243230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No41c4,592$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.961,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Yes61c4,590$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.165959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed No40c4,444$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9629250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes62c3,827$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.7220646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Yes61c3,825$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.91238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3793…10afbacked Yes60c3,632$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a77…1324backed Yes62c3,628$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes55c3,587$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.994252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed No38c3,509$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No40c3,499$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.697533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes60c3,493$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.516746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No43c3,439$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes62c3,392$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.866154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed No39c3,320$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.83275%24 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed No39c3,290$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.063551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed No39c3,256$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2701520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes58c3,252$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.842,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed No38c3,108$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes58c3,103$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.4513454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked No2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked No39c2,873$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.475846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed No39c2,857$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.0614725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No39c2,813$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09719250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes75c2,765$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.9836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39f…6c18backed No39c2,744$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ceb…b485backed No39c2,718$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40a…0d28backed No39c2,692$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…f8e9backed No39c2,692$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1776…af78backed No39c2,692$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9533…8d05backed No39c2,679$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b7…f905backed No39c2,667$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ce…6f3fbacked No39c2,654$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff4…9eb1backed No39c2,654$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf86…8042backed No39c2,641$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe180…7182backed No39c2,615$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfb…dc46backed No39c2,615$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.