Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e64a1fa6ccde6206df9a171b2c1832a53b12a8be4b55da22ba59556d4943664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netherlandsof Sweden, Netherlands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Sweden | 0c | 16,090$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden | 7c | 15,949$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.71 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Sweden | 7c | 10,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sweden | 7c | 9,801$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.67 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Sweden | 7c | 6,618$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.86 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…347ebacked Sweden | 8c | 6,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…64a3backed Sweden | 7c | 4,227$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Sweden | 8c | 3,976$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…bff9backed Sweden | 7c | 3,616$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Sweden | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden | 2c | 2,191$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…fb3cbacked Sweden | 7c | 2,042$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Sweden | 7c | 1,841$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Sweden | 7c | 1,506$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Sweden | 7c | 1,461$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sweden | 1c | 1,413$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Sweden | 7c | 1,408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Sweden | 7c | 1,374$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sweden | 5c | 1,360$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…6644backed Sweden | 2c | 1,325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…a4abbacked Sweden | 8c | 1,297$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Sweden | 8c | 1,154$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…6e44backed Sweden | 3c | 971.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Sweden | 7c | 899.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Sweden | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Sweden | 7c | 644$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sweden | 7c | 528.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Sweden | 4c | 401.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Sweden | 7c | 400.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Sweden | 7c | 372$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…97e4backed Sweden | 7c | 371$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Sweden | 7c | 328.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…1740backed Sweden | 8c | 320$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Sweden | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Sweden | 7c | 290.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Sweden | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 38.2%63 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sweden | 7c | 275.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…9501backed Sweden | 7c | 247.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Sweden | 6c | 244.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a65…38afbacked Sweden | 7c | 202.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Sweden | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Sweden | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Sweden | 7c | 183.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…5062backed Sweden | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Sweden | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.