TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,739,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,020,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,739,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under42c504,189$211,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,305.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over58c299,998$173,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,16015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over59c180,000$105,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,099.9642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under41c170,000$69,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,699.9720955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c156,835$64,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,910.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over60c133,616$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,615.8211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over60c124,919$74,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,967.6319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over56c120,484$67,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,343.73759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,999.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c71,114$42,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,338.511,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under42c70,814$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under40c70,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.9132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over59c67,500$39,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,67517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under40c59,999$24,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,299.766627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under41c46,751$19,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,167.994040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under14c44,934$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,290.874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c37,961$24,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,926.862,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c34,804$14,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,269.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under41c34,050$13,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,960.4117852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over59c20,557$12,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,478.6727345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under46c20,000$9,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,159.977653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c19,905$8,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,161.177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under3c17,976$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.9436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under43c17,510$7,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,448.031,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under43c17,489$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.661,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under20c17,273$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.2844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.383151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c16,429$10,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,415.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over60c15,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over59c14,386$8,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.352842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Over60c14,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9319038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9221937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over59c11,537$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,687.321,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under39c10,500$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.9810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c9,198$5,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under24c8,400$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.0814829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under8c7,999$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9624626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under42c7,857$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3003658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c7,732$4,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c7,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under41c7,491$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.51,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…50f5backed Under41c7,296$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.222814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under2c7,167$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under9c6,953$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.0415929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over59c6,906$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under25c6,800$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.581,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c6,422$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under43c6,376$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.685457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under2c6,346$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over60c6,018$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c5,936$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Over60c5,833$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.338951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under41c5,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.5532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…34c3backed Under40c5,555$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c5,500$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.9830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under2c5,067$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1004938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over80c4,757$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.9866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under14c4,444$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1615843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over58c4,444$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.4814348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under3c4,274$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under3c4,180$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c3,992$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under13c3,911$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over67c3,817$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.7938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over57c3,788$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.8418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under9c3,683$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3314343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Over59c3,276$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.196154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over57c3,200$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under10c3,160$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,090$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over57c3,000$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f81…fdffbacked Under41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2302737%10 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over57c2,944$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.9226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over57c2,800$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over59c2,798$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.4834964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under42c2,794$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.591,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over58c2,711$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.548032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf123…feacbacked Over60c2,667$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.671225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+92.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.