Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9f08a28ff9eb9de6e2f48c2cad592474840d995f0d184c4cce01c789e280e8

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netherlandsof Netherlands, Sweden
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $784,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $786,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Sweden	52c	205,494$106,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106,619.25	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands	31c	131,541$41,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90,533.4	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Netherlands	55c	98,138$54,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,074.98	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Netherlands	47c	60,317$28,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,967.77	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Sweden	23c	35,364$8,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,092.37	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Sweden	59c	35,205$20,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,770.77	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sweden	46c	23,738$10,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,941.83	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Netherlands	41c	18,254$7,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,771.26	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sweden	7c	16,870$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.35	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Netherlands	55c	15,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,750	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Sweden	3c	13,775$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.63	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden	11c	10,947$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.77	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Sweden	45c	8,452$3,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,803.42	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sweden	40c	7,828$3,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,148.11	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sweden	50c	7,425$3,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,709.73	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sweden	64c	7,015$4,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,474.01	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Netherlands	58c	6,959$4,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,920.68	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Netherlands	15c	5,833$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,958.05	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sweden	31c	5,543$1,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728.75	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Sweden	20c	5,506$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.97	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Netherlands	15c	5,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,250	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Netherlands	74c	4,823$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.72	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Netherlands	77c	4,580$3,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.03	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Netherlands	43c	4,407$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,511.98	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Netherlands	53c	4,368$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,052.92	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Sweden	60c	4,168$2,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,490	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Sweden	5c	4,105$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.1	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Netherlands	15c	4,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Sweden	31c	3,521$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.24	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Sweden	5c	3,146$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.28	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Netherlands	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Sweden	23c	2,432$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.96	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden	18c	2,335$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.48	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Sweden	20c	2,256$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.29	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Sweden	1c	2,210$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Netherlands	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Sweden	47c	1,835$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.97	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Netherlands	62c	1,828$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.39	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Sweden	27c	1,821$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.72	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Sweden	17c	1,781$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.84	91	18.7%17 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd958…f864backed Sweden	53c	1,616$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.52	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Sweden	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Netherlands	53c	1,497$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.25	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa58b…e1b6backed Sweden	21c	1,429$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Sweden	48c	1,419$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.2	138	37.7%52 W · 86 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Sweden	21c	1,357$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sweden	52c	1,347$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.76	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Sweden	16c	1,277$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Sweden	33c	1,275$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.06	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Netherlands	49c	1,270$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Netherlands	42c	1,190$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.48	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Netherlands	51c	1,130$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.13	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Sweden	51c	1,109$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.11	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Sweden	22c	1,020$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.24	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Netherlands	14c	999.97$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Sweden	55c	975.95$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.77	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed Sweden	26c	961.73$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa02d…0ff5backed Sweden	52c	960.69$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Sweden	27c	939.16$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.8	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Netherlands	46c	924.13$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.86	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Sweden	49c	899.61$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.82	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Netherlands	78c	894.85$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.87	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Sweden	9c	855$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e7…8c47backed Sweden	49c	817.14$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Netherlands	15c	790.82$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.2	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Netherlands	41c	784$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.56	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Netherlands	49c	760.72$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.66	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Netherlands	46c	759$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.47	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sweden	24c	681.92$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.48	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Sweden	75c	669.57$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	459	32.5%149 W · 310 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…7260backed Sweden	59c	644.07$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Sweden	59c	607.58$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.47	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Sweden	17c	604$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands	68c	603.35$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.12	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Sweden	26c	600$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+7.7wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Sweden	26c	576.92$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	365	34.2%125 W · 240 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Netherlands	49c	529.02$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.8	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Netherlands	25c	523.88$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.91	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Sweden	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe596…22c5backed Netherlands	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Netherlands	78c	475.71$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.75	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Sweden	52c	468.85$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.8	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sweden	16c	466.22$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.29	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Sweden	52c	458.61$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.69	208	51%106 W · 102 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…8744backed Sweden	46c	435.21$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Sweden	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Netherlands	15c	400$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Netherlands	15c	400$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Netherlands	76c	394.74$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	162	25.9%42 W · 120 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Netherlands	64c	389.43$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.48	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Netherlands	47c	385$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.45	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Netherlands	14c	377.52$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.67	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Netherlands	15c	366.53$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.55	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Sweden	52c	357.92$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.12	148	39.9%59 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…f51fbacked Sweden	23c	347.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	34cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Netherlands	56c	340.34$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.11	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Netherlands	15c	333.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.33	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Sweden	18c	330.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Sweden	57c	324.56$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)this page
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event