TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c34,153$9,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,877.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over43c23,330$10,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,008.5714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under75c20,517$15,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.0844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c20,051$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under60c13,850$8,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,482.9714232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c13,434$3,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.371,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c12,338$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.5251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c6,400$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.011,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Over0c5,286$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253212.5%4 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over4c5,211$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over15c4,739$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.2443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over11c4,396$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff9…ca43backed Over4c4,000$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c3,987$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under80c3,982$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.711,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c3,921$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over22c3,774$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.7266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.226447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under62c3,137$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.611566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c3,067$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over8c3,016$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.62,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over4c2,835$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under60c2,819$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.9520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Under61c2,751$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.1422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under68c2,651$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.1311042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over40c2,632$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.6624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over4c2,529$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under80c2,503$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under75c2,386$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.4358942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Under68c2,125$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.494055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under60c1,991$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.4916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c1,825$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9913…301dbacked Over32c1,677$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.963141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over10c1,636$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.87529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c1,574$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over17c1,498$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.392,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2190…5bdebacked Over25c1,350$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over29c1,299$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over39c1,293$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under59c1,112$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.824626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Over5c1,062$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.435714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over4c1,051$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over39c1,026$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1422437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbec…5340backed Under79c1,017$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.362650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Under61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.0211638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9326…d416backed Over4c960.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over14c944.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5524146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Under60c889.06$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.186543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over23c869.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9921759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Under71c844.58$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5814244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over36c806.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under79c801.24$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3415929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over42c718.08$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6719158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1637…69fcbacked Over29c713.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over21c703.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over43c699.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd39…1b8abacked Under65c690.07$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c677.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under60c657.91$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under79c636.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.019540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Over8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c619.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Over39c600$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.410729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over4c599.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Over34c583.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over36c549.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Over18c511.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…734ebacked Over3c508$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Under79c507.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5910169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over18c504.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4942126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over24c501.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…ea5cbacked Under60c488.06$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.714271.4%30 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Over42c473.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under61c467.6$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.513943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over30c467.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.873327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3039…9ed0backed Under72c463.22$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.542040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df6…558bbacked Over3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.350%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f65…0b1abacked Under67c446.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.92356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…b4eabacked Over37c403.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.628164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over33c375.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12423554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under68c369.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.324744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over35c352.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.966732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked Under73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4714854.7%81 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c339.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed Under77c333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.593050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked Under60c330.51$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.131560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c26…94abbacked Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over18c325.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Under61c325.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.23545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f67…ba88backed Over4c325$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35430%0 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over4c307.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…1e8dbacked Under73c304.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.291850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Under60c301.21$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.189357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9745421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.