TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1316…48a4backed Under70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over79c4,170$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.7635244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c3,543$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.531,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c3,117$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c2,760$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c2,450$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c2,395$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under16c2,325$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c1,215$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.353,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c1,136$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,055$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over31c1,033$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.9730142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c1,000$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c889.15$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.459428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c689.76$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.782,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.164544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c576.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over32c555.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.724940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over30c524.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over72c521$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.889351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over48c476.96$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.026732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c470.57$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c419.42$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over74c415.34$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.591,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…6129backed Over75c410$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.52536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+67.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Under3c403.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57326%19 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over80c376.36$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.273,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over29c355$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under71c352$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.922,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over70c350$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.512856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under18c332.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9412325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under75c320.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.921,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Over31c280.54$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under70c271.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.161,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c271.25$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.762,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c269.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.671,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under34c232.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9273234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over31c221.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1731046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over30c201$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over79c195.05$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2222560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cff…ce54backed Over73c168.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.537349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over31c161.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2315645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under55c160.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4941444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over78c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.451,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over31c139.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3524140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Under24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.358652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Under76c130.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.285343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c130.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.662,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c121.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc87f…c8c3backed Under20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c113.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.081,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c108.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c106.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over32c103.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6221029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over30c103.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3341339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked Under74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7719241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over58c87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.182,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under69c79.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.071,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Under68c78.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.542958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over30c75.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5831550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa161…6d70backed Over68c73.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over68c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecd…44e8backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672528%7 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.517357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over30c57.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4825646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over68c56.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under26c50.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.546247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over57c48.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.941,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ef…7761backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10d2…9096backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034a…9630backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfab…4aa9backed Over53c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Under70c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.734544.1%152 W · 193 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under68c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4954859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over69c28.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7820067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5710549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0d…2897backed Under71c27.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb6…f022backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-57.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2811457%65 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…6e17backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821362%132 W · 81 L+0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.