TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,285,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,356,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Under48c137,186$65,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,256.6549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c81,414$29,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,104.534,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c45,264$22,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,092.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over75c40,005$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,004.7314542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under1c32,499$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.515844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under71c25,877$18,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,440.5866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over68c25,453$17,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,086.9639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under17c23,963$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.5124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under2c22,728$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Over7c16,449$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,297.88313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.0311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Over7c15,095$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,066.91296.9%2 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under35c14,170$5,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.9236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under1c11,919$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2714544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over66c11,827$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.7345428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed Under1c10,364$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under26c10,053$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.4238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Over71c9,971$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.632722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c9,460$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,601.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over11c9,085$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,092.0384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over66c9,011$5,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.633458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c8,636$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9103…0724backed Under45c8,306$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c7,845$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.521,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over43c7,815$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.7629633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Over66c7,594$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.373946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over50c7,500$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.6238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Over66c7,491$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.8812235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over75c7,197$5,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.4936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under28c6,283$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.1944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over50c5,541$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.991,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c5,164$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over18c5,000$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,081.298617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over43c4,783$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.958353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c4,778$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9717827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c4,503$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.4837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under42c4,405$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.9819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Under35c4,202$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.94740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under11c4,131$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4497431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c4,007$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.311,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c3,715$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.864,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under2c3,492$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226246.9%123 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under1c3,438$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over23c3,430$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.9575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over19c3,300$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.323920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over55c3,162$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.0644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over60c3,135$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.2637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c3,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over8c3,000$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c2,997$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.492,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under60c2,944$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.9326447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked Over76c2,899$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.588121%17 W · 64 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under25c2,823$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf20…4f40backed Over77c2,821$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.615330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2190…5bdebacked Over55c2,729$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.43850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under53c2,641$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.7533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under76c2,608$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.243464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over21c2,607$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.0637944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under57c2,405$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.6246230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over9c2,302$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.8789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under25c2,265$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under1c2,230$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.317534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under44c2,119$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.21,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over10c2,096$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.163020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under1c2,020$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.799740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.214856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over9c2,019$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.1815920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under32c1,944$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.9958942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Under80c1,877$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under45c1,810$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.5398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over77c1,693$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.719462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over55c1,682$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.6525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4208…13febacked Under25c1,637$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.872638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under35c1,608$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.3739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under52c1,594$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.721,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under66c1,576$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.615040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under61c1,576$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.3829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a02…8b73backed Under64c1,562$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006647%31 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under32c1,560$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over58c1,556$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6518343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under76c1,504$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.111648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfab…4aa9backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…5c21backed Over75c1,467$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.679100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+49.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under14c1,466$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.552630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under36c1,446$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.032,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c1,392$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.061,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over9c1,383$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.4177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under12c1,375$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under55c1,363$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over67c1,300$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.823427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.78672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c1,279$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Under62c1,220$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.183452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under42c1,200$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.948032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.