TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,973 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc444…20dabacked Under42c2,055$868 inLost-$868.0513731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c2,021$1,185 inWon+$836.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Under41c1,009$414 inLost-$413.575259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under43c999.79$430 inLost-$429.9170648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under42c854.99$359 inLost-$359.135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over57c499.99$285 inWon+$21595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under41c473.45$195 inLost-$195.492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over58c454.7$264 inWon+$190.9729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c416.5$246 inWon+$170.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c350.7$138 inLost-$137.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over61c278$171 inWon+$107.241,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c263.73$106 inLost-$106.343,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over59c246.32$145 inWon+$101.128646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over60c200$120 inWon+$8011846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.4951045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.4910347.6%49 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.498341%34 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over59c166.1$98 inWon+$68.143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over59c156.77$93 inWon+$63.642640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over58c119$69 inWon+$49.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over57c117.88$68 inWon+$50.31,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over57c114.54$66 inWon+$48.851,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c106.5$45 inLost-$44.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over59c101.69$60 inWon+$41.6917735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over59c75.42$44 inWon+$30.9263229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c75.09$43 inWon+$31.643,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d00…8dd7backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon+$27.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c60$24 inLost-$241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under41c40.68$17 inLost-$16.551,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over59c35$21 inWon+$14.29450%47 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Over59c32.2$19 inWon+$13.210037%37 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Over57c30$17 inWon+$12.923866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.4219932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c25.27$10 inLost-$10.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Over57c24.56$14 inWon+$10.5627663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef1…0e4cbacked Over59c20.34$12 inWon+$8.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.