TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,610 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under61c2,803$1,710 inWon+$1,093.0886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over39c1,410$550 inLost-$5507038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,297$850 inWon+$447.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c1,014$636 inWon+$378.084,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Over39c994.1$388 inLost-$387.77346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under61c862.34$526 inWon+$336.3170648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over39c846.15$330 inLost-$3304643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c805.9$309 inLost-$309.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under61c594.22$362 inWon+$231.7464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over38c499.96$190 inLost-$189.9895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over39c461.54$180 inLost-$18054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Over39c137.59$54 inLost-$53.6616042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c135.2$89 inWon+$46.553,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under69c131.88$91 inWon+$40.8822355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over39c102.56$40 inLost-$4049426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over35c100.2$35 inLost-$358846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over38c100$38 inLost-$3839956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efc…2905backed Over38c100$38 inLost-$383246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over32c100$32 inLost-$325332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under61c99.98$61 inWon+$38.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over39c89.74$35 inLost-$3523544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under15c78.81$11 inWon+$67.3212954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c75.64$47 inWon+$28.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over38c60$23 inLost-$22.832254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over39c59.77$23 inLost-$23.3142640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost-$2014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost-$2013740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…b89abacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9322…0727backed Under78c49$38 inWon+$10.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…d62fbacked Under62c48.39$30 inWon+$18.394663%29 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4f…639dbacked Over39c34.9$14 inLost-$13.611060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under62c29.99$19 inWon+$11.432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c26.4$16 inWon+$10.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over58c25$15 inLost-$14.5527466.4%182 W · 92 L+28.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under62c19.14$12 inWon+$7.2736558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.