TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,608 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under4c25,314$1,066 inLost-$1,065.730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under4c18,758$757 inLost-$756.5244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under5c16,666$833 inLost-$833.332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under5c5,000$250 inLost-$25034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under5c5,000$250 inLost-$25044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under3c4,967$174 inLost-$173.8338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under4c4,941$198 inLost-$197.6620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under4c2,734$110 inLost-$109.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…ca43backed Under5c2,290$115 inLost-$114.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under5c2,224$111 inLost-$111.222,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under4c2,000$80 inLost-$8010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Under5c1,434$72 inLost-$71.724751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Under5c1,100$55 inLost-$554228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under4c1,085$43 inLost-$43.3971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under5c999.99$50 inLost-$5029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under4c890.76$40 inLost-$39.591756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under5c880$44 inLost-$4411934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Under5c855$40 inLost-$40.259253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under4c522.64$21 inLost-$20.918835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Under5c500$25 inLost-$252544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Under5c500$25 inLost-$2510720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Under5c415.15$21 inLost-$20.7610815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848b…648abacked Under5c400$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under4c400$16 inLost-$1611721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under5c361.9$18 inLost-$18.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under4c360.11$15 inLost-$14.584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under6c333.33$20 inLost-$209622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Under4c300$12 inLost-$129830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Under5c200$10 inLost-$1020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa5…0e06backed Under5c200$10 inLost-$101010%1 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick4cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Under7c200$14 inLost-$14258%2 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.