TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netherlandsof Netherlands, Sweden
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands12c35,481$4,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,177.382,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sweden56c19,138$10,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,686.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2837…e56fbacked Sweden73c13,490$9,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,890.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Netherlands39c12,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.5114542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Netherlands4c10,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Netherlands6c8,333$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,833.338135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Netherlands16c7,018$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Sweden3c6,766$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.225753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Netherlands36c5,453$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.7922437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Netherlands41c4,999$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.5316957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Sweden69c3,476$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.310550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Netherlands80c3,258$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.661,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f81…fdffbacked Netherlands25c3,035$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.992737%10 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Netherlands35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.4324917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Sweden60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.729633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Netherlands63c1,979$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.461,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Sweden60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Netherlands68c1,609$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.211,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Netherlands25c1,564$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8922backed Sweden30c1,517$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4541050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Sweden9c1,480$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Netherlands70c1,434$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1320856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Netherlands29c1,379$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4812536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Netherlands27c1,371$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.7677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Netherlands28c1,234$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.611,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked Sweden68c1,178$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Netherlands39c1,123$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.1620053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Sweden4c1,117$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Sweden73c1,008$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.967647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Netherlands25c1,004$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.918544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Sweden39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904035%14 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Netherlands5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95014235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Sweden59c999.98$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Netherlands5c990.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Sweden9c875.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Netherlands6c833.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3345120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Sweden26c826.46$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3836534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4655…b1bcbacked Sweden61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Sweden27c799.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21811044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed Sweden60c791.34$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9449.1%4 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Netherlands72c776.32$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Netherlands40c753.14$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1417518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Sweden66c740.3$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7112342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Netherlands25c724.25$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Netherlands6c696$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.247911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Netherlands61c636.8$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.354837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…57ecbacked Netherlands32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Netherlands40c586.31$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267f…dd6bbacked Sweden77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb368…202bbacked Netherlands75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sweden36c455.02$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.781,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Netherlands34c453.39$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Netherlands4c435$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Sweden59c422.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.172748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sweden11c422.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Netherlands6c416.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6760821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Netherlands52c410.53$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.536459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Sweden4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Netherlands48c375.68$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Sweden77c367.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5218765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Sweden63c353.09$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Netherlands29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8310726.2%28 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Sweden73c338.48$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2415341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd0…8744backed Sweden61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sweden74c302.35$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7429558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Sweden68c289.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7216363.8%104 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Sweden77c259.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Netherlands33c253.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1719750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Sweden48c253.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3818056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Sweden52c249.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309956.6%56 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Netherlands5c246.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.081,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Netherlands5c246.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.081,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Netherlands42c238.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.575863.8%37 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Netherlands5c234.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed Netherlands21c226.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9911231.3%35 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Netherlands43c223.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Sweden26c215.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.775248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Sweden67c202.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7517727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd497…c62fbacked Sweden66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212330.9%38 W · 85 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Sweden50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Sweden66c199.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9926836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Sweden67c182.09$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Sweden69c178.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.794953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Netherlands17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4725115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Netherlands29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4145932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Sweden72c170$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.112846.1%59 W · 69 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Sweden31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021828.9%63 W · 155 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Sweden77c157$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.899052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Sweden78c156.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8812846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sweden20c146.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.942,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Sweden69c145.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009150.5%46 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Sweden15c143.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.884452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sweden63c139.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbe0…56eabacked Sweden8c128.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012840.6%52 W · 76 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Netherlands39c128.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.723842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…b519backed Netherlands37c118.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.336544.6%29 W · 36 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Netherlands34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6510628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Netherlands43c116.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.616947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1573…8aacbacked Netherlands45c111.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2322041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef69…cdbdbacked Netherlands27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.