TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$603,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$611,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over55c404,417$222,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,296.6517034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under45c164,854$73,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,940.5174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c146,954$62,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,514.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under48c48,822$23,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,486.6414349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c25,993$10,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,661.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over62c18,576$11,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,114.6914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c13,000$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c11,385$7,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under32c10,595$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.539551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under31c9,474$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.8920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c5,402$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Over57c3,499$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.366538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under32c3,258$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.564327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over59c3,229$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.8136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under9c2,250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under31c2,139$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c2,005$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under21c1,851$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.042,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Under32c1,846$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.593525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over67c1,606$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under33c1,529$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under1c1,462$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c1,280$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c1,275$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under37c1,190$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.991,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over67c1,051$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4717045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under32c913.52$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.221,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under39c856.41$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over57c850$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.540343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under40c847.88$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.391,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under31c828.77$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over68c789.55$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over57c747.37$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bb…f68ebacked Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c692.08$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over61c657.07$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.726432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c655.95$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.332,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under41c616.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over56c614.91$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5112856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over68c600.31$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under32c591.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Over57c582.5$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.484025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under32c550$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Over69c529.09$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0210452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over68c500$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15839956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21058049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under32c477.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over65c469.54$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.269467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under45c433.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.31,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over58c423.23$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3420851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c409.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Over68c362.23$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.544323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over68c358.89$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8317345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Under41c309.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1278652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Over64c304.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.397945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under47c304.42$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14217735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x627b…285bbacked Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8612844.5%57 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under43c287.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.341,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f4b…abcbbacked Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Under42c238.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over69c238.19$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8414866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d8…cf41backed Under52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Over63c222.78$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.338461.9%52 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over58c213$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c200.43$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d7…c2bfbacked Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over59c199.34$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7310734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c188$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Over61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3312430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4412343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over58c172.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.679139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4136530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under46c170.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c166.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0462452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311665.5%76 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e9…c135backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9313752.6%72 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed Over57c132.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.363441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7e…f568backed Under31c128.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.863537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over68c127.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over58c125.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.864647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under39c124.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0141444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.