Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc19c03f8697b095fc7f5cf0ba8f1ea4287c1f49fd80480d4f63642af266bbea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 55c | 404,417$222,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,296.65 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 164,854$73,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,940.51 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 146,954$62,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,514.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 48c | 48,822$23,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,486.64 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 25,993$10,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,661.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 62c | 18,576$11,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,114.69 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 34c | 13,000$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 69c | 11,385$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Under | 32c | 10,595$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.53 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 31c | 9,474$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.89 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 5,402$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Over | 57c | 3,499$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.36 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 32c | 3,258$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 59c | 3,229$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.81 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Under | 9c | 2,250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 31c | 2,139$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,005$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 21c | 1,851$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Under | 32c | 1,846$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.59 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 67c | 1,606$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…ff89backed Under | 33c | 1,529$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 1c | 1,462$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 38c | 1,280$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.66 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 1,275$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 37c | 1,190$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Over | 67c | 1,051$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 32c | 913.52$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 856.41$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 40c | 847.88$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.39 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 31c | 828.77$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.92 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 789.55$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 747.37$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…f68ebacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 692.08$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 61c | 657.07$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 655.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.33 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 41c | 616.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Over | 56c | 614.91$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 68c | 600.31$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 32c | 591.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Over | 57c | 582.5$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 32c | 550$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Over | 69c | 529.09$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Over | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Under | 32c | 477.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 469.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 45c | 433.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 58c | 423.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 409.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Over | 68c | 362.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 68c | 358.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Under | 41c | 309.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Over | 64c | 304.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 47c | 304.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 43c | 287.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…abcbbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Under | 42c | 238.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 69c | 238.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Over | 63c | 222.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 213$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 68c | 200.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 59c | 199.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 19c | 188$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Over | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 58c | 172.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 46c | 170.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 106 | 72.6%77 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…c135backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Over | 57c | 132.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed Under | 31c | 128.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 68c | 127.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…6655backed Over | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 39c | 124.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Netherlands (-5.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-4.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Sweden (-5.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.