TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x692b…b4f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
516
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT45744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 457 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Daniele Rapagnettabacked Daniele Rapagnetta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.79
Quito: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.32
Cary: Daniil Glinka vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$42.24
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.52
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.29
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.08
Wimbledon WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tienbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Vukic vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Wimbledon WTA: Jaqueline Cristian vs Iva Jovicbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.86
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$67.2
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.38
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$53.4
Showing 25 of 457 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$849
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.82
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$500.69
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.71
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$562
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.99
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will Algeria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.17
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 3 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$54.46
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+319.3%+$609.19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Son Heungmin: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+900%+$449.99
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+156.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Gironabacked Basquet Girona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Granada vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked Granada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Gran Canaria vs. Manresabacked Manresa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+230.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+334.9%+$640.13
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$441.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$117.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Loma Lookboonmee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.