Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3c1ce81b6adce8d094b2a8d4d1ea4d317dbd3dd3d8f07cad498115aa9edf8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 8c | 18,306$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 9c | 3,442$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 9c | 2,918$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 12c | 1,055$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 8c | 968.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 4c | 812.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…4fd8backed Yes | 9c | 534.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8784backed Yes | 11c | 470.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…9c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 468.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 9c | 455.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…5648backed Yes | 13c | 377.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Yes | 9c | 373.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 11c | 363.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 8c | 341.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 9c | 271.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…b82bbacked Yes | 10c | 252.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 10c | 248.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…a342backed Yes | 8c | 240.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 6c | 205.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…082fbacked Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e605backed Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 12c | 167.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 156.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…2dfbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…5c2abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…ef61backed Yes | 14c | 72.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsthis page
- Agustín Canobbio: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ assistsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 1+ shotsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 2+ goalsNo won
- Federico Valverde: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedri: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rodri: 2+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yeremi Pino: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.