Federico Valverde: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91675339f2803a2126f6d293bd315b410155353d140a5505f5774ff508823748

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,376 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	11c	2,573$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.38	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x02fa…e10fbacked Yes	13c	1,157$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.55	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes	13c	972.94$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	10c	174$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f6bbbacked Yes	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	177	27.1%48 W · 129 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf1…a687backed Yes	16c	68.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x466d…ffb1backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsthis page
Agustín Canobbio: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsYes won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Federico Valverde: 1+ assistsNo won
Federico Valverde: 1+ shotsNo won
Federico Valverde: 2+ goalsNo won
Federico Valverde: 2+ shotsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
Mikel Merino: 2+ goalsNo won
Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Pedri: 1+ assistsNo won
Pedri: 1+ goalsNo won
Pedri: 2+ assistsNo won
Pedri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Rodri: 1+ assistsNo won
Rodri: 1+ goalsNo won
Rodri: 2+ assistsNo won
Rodri: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Yeremi Pino: 3+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Federico Valverde: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event