TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes38c4,444$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.7232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No62c2,500$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No62c2,106$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.19161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes38c1,555$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.7322448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.986543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c1,416$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No62c1,261$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No62c999.97$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9912945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Yes37c800.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c696.99$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No61c584.04$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.899767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked No65c513.75$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes35c503.65$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8214116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes32c499.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c481.1$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6337959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No63c448.23$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8515642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No62c442.86$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9221630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No64c381.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f8…83bcbacked Yes37c363.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No63c360.95$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.555119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No63c340.5$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.989563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed No65c311.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.067636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x007f…a92abacked Yes37c264.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes39c257.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9515054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Yes35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.54643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No64c212.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.72,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a5…40abbacked Yes37c172.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes36c165.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes35c160.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0323729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No63c140.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No64c130.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3110351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c8…a89ebacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x655e…610dbacked Yes36c100.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No62c95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6337971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No62c92.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1919251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed Yes38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.215449.4%76 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c87.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa2…3620backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307241.7%30 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308863.6%56 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes16c71.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1412058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x605d…1464backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes58c65.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.567358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes39c61.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2466745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1e…f4edbacked Yes37c56.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111452.6%60 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7390…30a3backed Yes44c56.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259150.5%46 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc622…8f86backed Yes35c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x941b…8896backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011947.9%57 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes43c50.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816946.2%78 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a2…c0edbacked Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916629.5%49 W · 117 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3b…5af6backed Yes38c48.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.548651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eba…a2b8backed Yes38c48.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5412450.8%63 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed Yes38c47.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.096334.9%22 W · 41 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32d8…90b3backed Yes38c47.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.456256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.128873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes37c42.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.916042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd412…74edbacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes35c41.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3715448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ce…9fcfbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac6…783ebacked Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159231.5%29 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No65c31.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c31.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.642,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed No65c31.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.924953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Yes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Yes37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3611343.4%49 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No56c27.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9536423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997e…2d1cbacked No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…8967backed No65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No67c19.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3621565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.