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Wallet 0xa2d4…4064

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$27,553 staked over 562 qualified picks in 14 categories, 7 of 14 below 50.

60

Best category

Serie A

$1,356 staked over 34 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Serie A board
58

Second best

Champions League

$1,140 staked over 53 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.08 per pick.

See the full Champions League board
56

Third best

South American Leagues

$423 staked over 12 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full South American Leagues board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be +$457.33 tailing 34 Serie A picks (24 W · 10 L) at $50 each: +26.9% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Serie A picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category14 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie Alast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$1,356before 62%in play 38%, over 34 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min before the start1 h 49resells, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled+0.1594% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.5+0.1654c+26.9%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$20+81.8%+$16.36
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$60+115.9%+$69.55
Oct 25, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$31+62.7%+$19.45
Oct 25, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FC Internazionale MilanoLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$20-100%-$20
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$20+132.6%+$26.51
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$40+112.8%+$45.11
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)59c$40-100%-$40
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$40+69.5%+$27.8
Oct 18, 2026, EDTACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$20+88.7%+$17.74
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$40+61.3%+$24.52
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$15+143.9%+$21.59
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$25-100%-$25
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$15-100%-$15
Oct 11, 2026, EDTUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+59.7%+$11.94
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$40+75.4%+$30.18
Sep 20, 2026, EDTSpread: AC Milan (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AC MilanWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$30+75.4%+$22.63
Sep 20, 2026, EDTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$35-100%-$35
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$30+92.3%+$27.69
Sep 18, 2026, EDTWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$25-100%-$25
Sep 14, 2026, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$30+56.3%+$16.88
Sep 14, 2026, EDTSpread: Como 1907 (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Como 1907Lost (open this pick on its own page)59c$15-100%-$15
Sep 14, 2026, EDTComo 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$15+75.4%+$11.32
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$15-100%-$15
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$30+85.2%+$25.56
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$30-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT$1,140before 83%in play 17%, over 53 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min before the start2 h 36to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled+0.1199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.9+0.1153c+14.6%58
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Sporting CP (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sporting CPLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$20-100%-$20
Oct 21, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$20+61.3%+$12.26
Oct 21, 2026, EDTAston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$10-100%-$10
Oct 21, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$20+96.1%+$19.22
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$20+75.4%+$15.09
Oct 21, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$20+127.3%+$25.45
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$20-100%-$20
Oct 21, 2026, EDTComo 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Como 1907 O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$20+96.1%+$19.22
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$20+143.9%+$28.78
Oct 21, 2026, EDTLille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$20+61.3%+$12.26
Oct 20, 2026, EDTExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)4c$10-100%-$10
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$20-100%-$20
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$20-100%-$20
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$20-100%-$20
Oct 20, 2026, EDTVfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+49.3%+$9.85
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$20-100%-$20
Oct 20, 2026, EDTSabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$20+85.2%+$17.04
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$25+66.7%+$16.67
Oct 14, 2026, EDTReal Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$20+96.1%+$19.22
Oct 14, 2026, EDTJude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$15-100%-$15
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$30-100%-$30
Oct 14, 2026, EDTFeyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$15+135.5%+$20.32
Oct 14, 2026, EDTWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$20+53.8%+$10.77
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$35-100%-$35
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$15-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT$423before 50%in play 50%, over 12 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start1 h 26to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled+0.1797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1275%9 W · 3 L+2.1+0.1857c+21.6%56
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$20+56.3%+$11.25
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$15+127.3%+$19.09
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$40+69.5%+$27.8
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$40+61.3%+$24.52
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$25+69.5%+$17.37
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$40+58.7%+$23.49
Oct 8, 2026, EDTWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$40-100%-$40
Sep 7, 2026, EDTCA Barracas Central vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$25-100%-$25
Sep 6, 2026, EDTWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$60+42.9%+$25.71
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill CA Belgrano win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$25-100%-$25
Sep 4, 2026, EDTCA Belgrano vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$18+45.8%+$8.24
Sep 2, 2026, EDTCR Flamengo vs. Mirassol FC: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)78c$75+28.2%+$21.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$1,986before 56%in play 44%, over 59 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start1 h 46to the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled+0.0480% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 51 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5961%36 W · 23 L+3.2+0.0556c+13.2%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$20-100%-$20
Oct 25, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$13+72.4%+$9.41
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCoventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$20-100%-$20
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$15-100%-$15
Oct 19, 2026, EDTWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+58.7%+$11.75
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$20-100%-$20
Oct 18, 2026, EDTLeeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$15+75.4%+$11.32
Oct 17, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)72c$20-100%-$20
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$40+100%+$40
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$20+69.5%+$13.9
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Manchester City FCLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$20-100%-$20
Oct 17, 2026, EDTEverton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$20+109.4%+$21.87
Oct 14, 2026, EDTLincoln City FC vs. West Ham United FC: West Ham United FC O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$20+53.8%+$10.77
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$40+49.3%+$19.7
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Burnley FC win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$20-100%-$20
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$40+69.5%+$27.8
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)71c$25-100%-$25
Oct 12, 2026, EDTWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)46c$20-100%-$20
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$20+108.3%+$21.67
Oct 11, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$15+122.2%+$18.33
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$40-100%-$40
Oct 10, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$40+66.3%+$26.54
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$40+117.4%+$46.96
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$40+88.7%+$35.47
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$40+47.1%+$18.82
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT$605before 75%in play 25%, over 32 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start1 h 52resells, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled+0.06104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)3262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9+0.0657c+23.7%54
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 22, 2026, EDTBeşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$20+118%+$23.61
Oct 22, 2026, EDTBeşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$20+51.5%+$10.3
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$15+75.4%+$11.32
Oct 22, 2026, EDTAS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$20-100%-$20
Oct 22, 2026, EDTAFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$20-100%-$20
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$20+85.2%+$17.04
Oct 22, 2026, EDTJagiellonia Białystok vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$20+85.2%+$17.04
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)50c$15+100%+$15
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$20+47.1%+$9.41
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$20-100%-$20
Oct 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Brighton & Hove Albion FCLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$20-100%-$20
Oct 22, 2026, EDTWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$20-100%-$20
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$20+92.3%+$18.46
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$20-100%-$20
Oct 15, 2026, EDTGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$10-100%-$10
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$10+88.7%+$8.87
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill NEC win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$20-100%-$20
Oct 15, 2026, EDTFerencvárosi TC vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$10+85.2%+$8.52
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)16c$10+525%+$52.5
Oct 15, 2026, EDTSpread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Sport Lisboa e BenficaWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$20+51.5%+$10.3
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$20-100%-$20
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+49.3%+$9.85
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill KAA Gent win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$20+63.9%+$12.79
Oct 15, 2026, EDTRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+58.7%+$11.75
Oct 15, 2026, EDTWill AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$25-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$414before 67%in play 33%, over 15 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start1 h 49to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled+0.09106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3+0.0858c+17%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTStade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$15+47.1%+$7.06
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$40+112.8%+$45.11
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)45c$10+122.2%+$12.22
Oct 11, 2026, EDTOGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$26+51.4%+$13.37
Oct 10, 2026, EDTAS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$13+33.3%+$4.33
Sep 20, 2026, EDTOusmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$15-100%-$15
Sep 20, 2026, EDTKhvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$15-100%-$15
Sep 20, 2026, EDTFerran Torres: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$10+185.7%+$18.57
Sep 18, 2026, EDTAS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$30+58.7%+$17.62
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill Lille OSC win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$30+49.3%+$14.78
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Le Havre AC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$15-100%-$15
Sep 12, 2026, EDTParis FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$30-100%-$30
Sep 12, 2026, EDTRC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$15+51.5%+$7.73
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)73c$75-100%-$75
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$75+42.9%+$32.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$668before 68%in play 32%, over 25 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start1 h 51resells, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 18 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2560%15 W · 10 L+0.10.0060c-1.7%50
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$20-100%-$20
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)69c$40+44.9%+$17.97
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSC Paderborn 07 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)64c$20-100%-$20
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$20+66.7%+$13.33
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$20-100%-$20
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$20-100%-$20
Oct 17, 2026, EDTHamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$40-100%-$40
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$13+25%+$3.25
Oct 16, 2026, EDTEintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$20-100%-$20
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$20+88.7%+$17.74
Oct 16, 2026, EDTHolstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)68c$30-100%-$30
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$40+69.5%+$27.8
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$40+63.9%+$25.57
Oct 10, 2026, EDTWill SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-10-10?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)47c$40+112.8%+$45.11
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)74c$40-100%-$40
Sep 18, 2026, EDTJamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$15+96.1%+$14.41
Sep 18, 2026, EDTMichael Olise: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)53c$10+88.7%+$8.87
Sep 13, 2026, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$15+42.9%+$6.43
Sep 12, 2026, EDT1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$30+49.3%+$14.78
Sep 12, 2026, EDTFC Augsburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$30+49.3%+$14.78
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)26c$10-100%-$10
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$30+75.4%+$22.63
Sep 11, 2026, EDT1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$30+58.7%+$17.62
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$25-100%-$25
Aug 28, 2026, EDTWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$50+25%+$12.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$1,363before 62%in play 38%, over 45 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start2 h 09to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled-0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)4555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.4-0.0156c-2.9%49
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)48c$60-100%-$60
Oct 25, 2026, EDTRC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$16-100%-$16
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSpread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Club Atlético de MadridLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$20-100%-$20
Oct 24, 2026, EDTValencia CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$20+66.7%+$13.33
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)50c$40-100%-$40
Oct 18, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$20+81.8%+$16.36
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill Girona FC win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$40+81.8%+$32.73
Oct 18, 2026, EDTGranada CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$20+95.4%+$19.08
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)58c$20+72.4%+$14.48
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$20-100%-$20
Oct 16, 2026, EDTCD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$25-100%-$25
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$40+53.8%+$21.54
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$40+51.5%+$20.61
Oct 10, 2026, EDTLamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$15-100%-$15
Oct 10, 2026, EDTDeportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$20+66.7%+$13.33
Oct 10, 2026, EDTDeportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$20+49.3%+$9.85
Sep 20, 2026, EDTKylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscoreron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$20-100%-$20
Sep 20, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$20-100%-$20
Sep 20, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)41c$20+143.9%+$28.78
Sep 20, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$20-100%-$20
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$60+62%+$37.22
Sep 19, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FC BarcelonaWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$30+78.6%+$23.57
Sep 19, 2026, EDTSevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)55c$30+81.8%+$24.55
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$20-100%-$20
Sep 17, 2026, EDTWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$17+116.3%+$19.78
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT$11,403before 77%in play 23%, over 138 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start2 h 46to the end, median over 169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 43 of them sold before the market settled-0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 117 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)14541.4%60 W · 85 L-3.8-0.0344c-13.4%47
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 6, 2026, EDTWill Scotland win on 2026-10-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)53c$20-100%-$20
Oct 5, 2026, EDTBosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$15-100%-$15
Oct 5, 2026, EDTNorthern Ireland vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$13-100%-$13
Oct 5, 2026, EDTMontenegro vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$20-100%-$20
Oct 5, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)75c$15+33.3%+$5
Oct 5, 2026, EDTUkraine vs. Hungary: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$10+85.2%+$8.52
Oct 5, 2026, EDTCyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$15+90.6%+$13.59
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Norway win on 2026-10-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$10-100%-$10
Oct 4, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$20+42.9%+$8.57
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Germany win on 2026-10-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$15-100%-$15
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$30-100%-$30
Oct 4, 2026, EDTWill Malta win on 2026-10-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)61c$20+63.9%+$12.79
Oct 3, 2026, EDTSwitzerland vs. Slovenia: Switzerland O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$20+56.3%+$11.25
Oct 2, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Italy: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$20+84%+$16.8
Oct 2, 2026, EDTWill Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$15+75.4%+$11.32
Oct 1, 2026, EDTWill Norway win on 2026-10-01?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$10-100%-$10
Sep 29, 2026, EDTFinland vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$13-100%-$13
Sep 27, 2026, EDTGermany vs. Greece: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$20-100%-$20
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Austria win on 2026-09-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$30+58.7%+$17.62
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$30+42.9%+$12.86
Sep 27, 2026, EDTWill Denmark win on 2026-09-27?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$30+40.8%+$12.25
Sep 26, 2026, EDTWill Spain win on 2026-09-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$15+104.1%+$15.61
Sep 26, 2026, EDTWill Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$30+35.1%+$10.54
Sep 25, 2026, EDTTürkiye vs. France: Both Teams to Scoreon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)60c$30-100%-$30
Sep 25, 2026, EDTWill Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)60c$30+66.7%+$20
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT$46—too few: 3 picks1 h 11resells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled-0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6-0.2155c-42.8%47
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT$2,000—no start of play27 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled-0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)80%0 W · 8 L-1.9-0.2323c-100%44
Parlayslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT$3,787—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price5335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.8-0.0945c-7.8%43
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 19, 2026, EDTMontenegro vs. Armenia: Montenegro O/U 1.5 AND Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-05?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)64c$20-100%-$20
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWales vs. Denmark: O/U 4.5 AND Wales vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)46c$15-100%-$15
Oct 18, 2026, EDTNetherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)55c$20-100%-$20
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill England win on 2026-09-29? AND Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)63c$60-100%-$60
Oct 13, 2026, EDTWill Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)37c$20-100%-$20
Oct 5, 2026, EDTItaly vs. Türkiye: Italy O/U 1.5 AND Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)66c$20+51%+$10.2
Oct 4, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Portugal vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)64c$20+56.6%+$11.31
Oct 3, 2026, EDTMillwall FC vs. West Ham United FC: West Ham United FC O/U 1.5 AND Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)53c$30-100%-$30
Oct 2, 2026, EDTBrentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)62c$30-100%-$30
Sep 26, 2026, EDTAl Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 1.5 AND Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)75c$30-100%-$30
Sep 26, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)61c$30-100%-$30
Sep 24, 2026, EDTFenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)58c$30-100%-$30
Sep 24, 2026, EDTPSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score AND PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)57c$30-100%-$30
Sep 22, 2026, EDTFC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$30-100%-$30
Sep 20, 2026, EDTManchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)67c$30+49.7%+$14.9
Sep 19, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score2 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)56c$30+79.1%+$23.73
Sep 14, 2026, EDTVillarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score AND Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)56c$25+80%+$20.01
Aug 2, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)36c$50-100%-$50
Aug 1, 2026, EDTFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$75-100%-$75
Jul 25, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$35-100%-$35
Jul 25, 2026, EDTLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)37c$39-100%-$39.31
Jul 25, 2026, EDTNorway vs. England: O/U 4.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)41c$50-100%-$50
Jul 25, 2026, EDTNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)55c$55-100%-$54.99
Jul 21, 2026, EDTSwitzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)54c$110-100%-$109.99
Jul 21, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)35c$125-100%-$125
Jul 20, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)31c$52-100%-$52
Jul 20, 2026, EDTJoão Félix: 2+ shots AND Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots6 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$38-100%-$37.99
Jul 19, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)47c$50+114.3%+$57.14
Jul 18, 2026, EDTBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$100-100%-$99.99
Jul 18, 2026, EDTParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)59c$300-100%-$299.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5 AND Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals AND João Félix: 1+ goals3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$25-100%-$25
Jul 16, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)24c$50-100%-$49.65
Jul 16, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$50-100%-$49.99
Jul 16, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)52c$250-100%-$249.99
Jul 15, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5 AND Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)40c$99-100%-$98.84
Jul 15, 2026, EDTChristian Pulisic: 1+ goals AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)43c$100-100%-$99.99
Jul 15, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)38c$250-100%-$250
Jul 15, 2026, EDTBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)36c$150-100%-$149.99
Jul 10, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)52c$105+94%+$98.96
Jul 10, 2026, EDTMichael Olise: 1+ assists AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)20c$25-100%-$25
Jul 9, 2026, EDTTürkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score AND Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)28c$75-100%-$74.99
Jul 7, 2026, EDTLeandro Trossard: 2+ shots AND Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)57c$50+76.2%+$38.12
Jul 6, 2026, EDTUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)50c$50+98.1%+$49.02
Jul 5, 2026, EDTMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)10c$25+873.7%+$218.4
Jul 5, 2026, EDTMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)21c$75+366.5%+$273.15
Jul 5, 2026, EDTMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)37c$75+172.6%+$129.45
Jul 4, 2026, EDTCanada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)47c$250+110.8%+$276.9
Jul 3, 2026, EDTColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)53c$100+88.9%+$88.85
Jul 3, 2026, EDTSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)38c$50+162.3%+$81.14
Jul 3, 2026, EDTSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)57c$250+74.6%+$186.39
Jul 2, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)48c$50+110.3%+$55.15
Jul 2, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)40c$50+150.2%+$75.09
Jul 1, 2026, EDTHarry Kane: 1+ goals AND England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?3 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)36c$35+180.2%+$63.09
All 53 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT$902before 54%in play 46%, over 26 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start2 h 17to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)2646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2-0.1259c-25.9%43
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$20+69.5%+$13.9
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$20+53.8%+$10.77
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)70c$20-100%-$20
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$20-100%-$20
Oct 21, 2026, EDTWill FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-21?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$40-100%-$40
Oct 20, 2026, EDTWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)52c$20+92.3%+$18.46
Oct 20, 2026, EDTAl Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)54c$13-100%-$13
Oct 19, 2026, EDTSpread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Al Hilal Saudi ClubLost (open this pick on its own page)78c$40-100%-$40
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)69c$30-100%-$30
Oct 19, 2026, EDTAl Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)57c$13+75.4%+$9.81
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)65c$40+53.8%+$21.54
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)67c$25+49.3%+$12.31
Oct 11, 2026, EDTWill Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-11?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)56c$40-100%-$40
Oct 10, 2026, EDTKyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$20-100%-$20
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)68c$40+47.1%+$18.82
Oct 9, 2026, EDTWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-09?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)59c$40+69.2%+$27.67
Sep 20, 2026, EDTGamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)52c$15-100%-$15
Sep 19, 2026, EDTFC Tōkyō vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)55c$20-100%-$20
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$15-100%-$15
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)77c$36+29.9%+$10.75
Sep 12, 2026, EDTWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-12?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$15+127.3%+$19.09
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$15-100%-$15
Sep 7, 2026, EDTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)25c$30-100%-$30
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$100+31.6%+$31.58
Sep 3, 2026, EDTWill Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-09-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)23c$15-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT$1,460before 33%in play 67%, over 52 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start1 h 18resells, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled-0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)5248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.1-0.1462c-27.5%40
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 25, 2026, EDTAZ vs. FC Twente: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)70c$15+42.9%+$6.43
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$20+61.3%+$12.26
Oct 25, 2026, EDTWill Viking FK win on 2026-10-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)71c$25+40.8%+$10.21
Oct 25, 2026, EDTSilkeborg IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)76c$25+32.3%+$8.07
Oct 25, 2026, EDTFortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$22-100%-$22
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill Kalmar FF win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)57c$40-100%-$40
Oct 24, 2026, EDTWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-10-24?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$40-100%-$40
Oct 24, 2026, EDTFC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)64c$35+56.7%+$19.86
Oct 24, 2026, EDTFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)76c$20-100%-$20
Oct 24, 2026, EDTIK Sirius vs. AIK: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$15+38.9%+$5.83
Oct 23, 2026, EDTWill Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$40+61.3%+$24.52
Oct 19, 2026, EDTViborg FF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)72c$30+38.3%+$11.48
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill NEC win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$10-100%-$10
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill FC Twente win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)66c$20-100%-$20
Oct 18, 2026, EDTTromsø IL vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)48c$20+106.6%+$21.31
Oct 18, 2026, EDTFC København vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)66c$25+50.4%+$12.61
Oct 18, 2026, EDTWill FC København win on 2026-10-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)58c$20-100%-$20
Oct 18, 2026, EDTVålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)80c$13+25%+$3.25
Oct 18, 2026, EDTMalmo FF vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$26-100%-$26
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)62c$25+61.3%+$15.32
Oct 17, 2026, EDTWill Aberdeen FC win on 2026-10-17?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)56c$40+78.6%+$31.43
Oct 16, 2026, EDTWill AC Horsens win on 2026-10-16?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)61c$20-100%-$20
Oct 12, 2026, EDTKFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)74c$15+35.1%+$5.27
Oct 12, 2026, EDTMalmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)67c$20-100%-$20
Oct 12, 2026, EDTMalmo FF vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)62c$20-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.