Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38903ef70b7d9ee41ea22ef2aec6287e4e6c77ec8702ca741e37d5c5df090a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,560,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,341,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 8c | 193,867$15,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,710.07 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 10c | 79,303$7,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.73 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 8c | 64,600$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.28 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 7c | 40,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 7c | 31,332$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.95 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 24,131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…7813backed Yes | 16c | 22,464$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 1c | 17,393$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 10c | 17,172$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.84 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…a855backed Yes | 3c | 16,456$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…b24bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,910$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 6c | 14,000$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…63c7backed Yes | 12c | 12,452$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,340$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 9c | 12,014$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.16 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…ba48backed Yes | 4c | 10,700$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 3c | 10,651$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…2e20backed Yes | 9c | 10,042$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…c3f0backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 8,824$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.13 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 8,461$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.46 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 4c | 8,046$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…5d67backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…ab6fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 9c | 7,373$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 9c | 6,903$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.38 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 8c | 6,682$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 10c | 6,584$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.04 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…9594backed Yes | 13c | 6,404$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +951%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 12c | 5,900$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 7c | 5,392$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.59 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 5,102$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…ac62backed Yes | 6c | 5,090$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,428$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…bc3cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,237$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 0c | 3,625$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 3,575$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 3,529$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…e130backed Yes | 0c | 3,516$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,455$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.96 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,439$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 9c | 3,369$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,183$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 11c | 3,145$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,091$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.7 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 13c | 2,946$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 2,638$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 2c | 2,443$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…d21cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,413$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 11c | 2,383$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 4c | 2,380$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 12c | 2,357$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 6c | 2,356$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 6c | 2,282$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…d2ccbacked Yes | 9c | 2,094$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…1f06backed Yes | 5c | 2,053$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 9c | 2,015$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…2177backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 2c | 1,986$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…db6cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,959$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 7c | 1,804$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 5c | 1,800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 11c | 1,753$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 9c | 1,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 11c | 1,709$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…035ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…c1efbacked Yes | 11c | 1,570$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…a795backed Yes | 16c | 1,473$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…4babbacked Yes | 11c | 1,459$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,449$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…a274backed Yes | 7c | 1,383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 2c | 1,340$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…a137backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…9417backed Yes | 5c | 1,160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,077$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…67b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,032$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 11c | 940$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…0143backed Yes | 11c | 911.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…1f7bbacked Yes | 10c | 909.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9142backed Yes | 9c | 882.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +252.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 810.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 10c | 803.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a6…3dd1backed Yes | 6c | 798.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed7…2277backed Yes | 9c | 789$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 6c | 788.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 13c | 768.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…77e1backed Yes | 14c | 768$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…3345backed Yes | 7c | 744.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…0adebacked Yes | 4c | 726.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 720.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…8a85backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…6dc2backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…5586backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.