Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be031440c5a571cd4fc3e05e2478d98aee41c7a44d10d3c5e6a24e38b30fabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,851,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,650,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,851,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 14c | 173,884$24,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,704.46 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 14c | 66,508$9,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,031.45 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 75c | 50,000$37,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,250.5 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4527backed Yes | 2c | 40,833$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 59c | 37,999$22,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,713.11 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…ea9dbacked Yes | 15c | 36,073$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 69c | 34,386$23,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,828.72 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 58c | 33,692$19,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,307.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 2c | 30,587$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 30,467$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 2c | 26,481$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 62c | 21,036$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 0c | 21,011$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,887$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf539…9483backed Yes | 3c | 18,722$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 5c | 18,598$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.74 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,791$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…63c7backed Yes | 16c | 13,440$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 69c | 13,133$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 12,818$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 12,527$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…1652backed No | 75c | 11,744$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,209$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…78a5backed Yes | 28c | 10,655$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 4c | 9,755$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 8c | 9,667$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.35 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 3c | 9,346$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 23c | 8,812$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.67 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 68c | 8,183$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.59 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 4c | 8,124$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,849$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 44c | 7,346$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.76 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 6c | 6,583$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 1c | 6,190$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 5,850$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,812$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,626$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…dcccbacked Yes | 4c | 5,556$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…6ba3backed Yes | 4c | 5,232$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 19c | 5,134$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.48 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfe…1ed1backed Yes | 14c | 4,977$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 68c | 4,951$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.79 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed Yes | 11c | 4,700$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 54c | 4,646$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 4,529$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 3c | 4,323$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 48c | 4,171$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 21c | 3,798$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 3c | 3,776$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,554$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 5c | 3,250$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…7616backed Yes | 62c | 3,225$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 23c | 3,111$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 5c | 3,110$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 4c | 3,097$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,050$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.12 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…c976backed Yes | 3c | 3,038$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 29c | 3,024$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…c1ecbacked Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…a476backed Yes | 2c | 2,855$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 17c | 2,681$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…3489backed Yes | 35c | 2,669$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 32c | 2,563$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 5c | 2,559$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 55c | 2,531$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 42c | 2,496$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked No | 43c | 2,301$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked Yes | 5c | 2,240$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 11c | 2,194$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 51c | 2,053$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.14 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 52c | 2,010$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.42 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…6a77backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…aeacbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 66c | 1,975$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.56 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 78c | 1,960$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…cd0dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,955$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…f3f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 29c | 1,757$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 13c | 1,728$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,705$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 18c | 1,701$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 77c | 1,700$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 65c | 1,691$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.92 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,617$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 13c | 1,566$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1b75backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 40c | 1,474$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c2f0backed Yes | 15c | 1,424$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 74c | 1,329$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.57 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 21c | 1,315$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,300$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,276$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 66c | 1,274$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.