Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e23102d299cc0c42ebe171b28a5f8bbcc61c78b1f3ed005e0ef37448c4a9e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 18c | 12,886$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.1 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 12c | 5,620$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 6c | 4,097$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,883$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 12c | 2,661$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 10c | 2,082$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked No | 11c | 1,620$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 7c | 1,437$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,309$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 16c | 1,205$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 24c | 1,200$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…b32abacked Yes | 79c | 1,188$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…2f7ebacked No | 17c | 1,150$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 13c | 1,030$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 8c | 878.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked No | 11c | 825.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 75c | 699$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…e9a9backed No | 6c | 678.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 14c | 652.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 12c | 599.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 19c | 512.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked No | 6c | 510$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 9c | 465.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed No | 4c | 448.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 6c | 401.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 6c | 391.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…62b8backed Yes | 75c | 372.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +136%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 71c | 370.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 80c | 292.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…5f43backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…b26dbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 78c | 247.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 224.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…c673backed Yes | 79c | 203.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…d48fbacked Yes | 80c | 185.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7b…24cabacked No | 14c | 183.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…b597backed No | 16c | 182.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked No | 20c | 166.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0736…0bd2backed Yes | 80c | 161$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…9dbabacked Yes | 79c | 157.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…9898backed Yes | 78c | 154.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…9707backed Yes | 76c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed No | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…99f9backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…809bbacked Yes | 80c | 146.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…01a8backed Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…98aebacked Yes | 70c | 137.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 70c | 132.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…205bbacked Yes | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…03cfbacked No | 12c | 130.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Yes | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…9b7bbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…3fb5backed Yes | 74c | 106.93$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…1fb3backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 19c | 70.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…e875backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 22c | 60.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…42c7backed Yes | 78c | 55.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcd…5a2fbacked Yes | 76c | 55.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…8bdbbacked Yes | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…52d0backed Yes | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb4…8a79backed Yes | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…61ccbacked Yes | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…d2a0backed Yes | 79c | 53.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d2…b3f2backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…7c63backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…cc83backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 79c | 49.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…8a45backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…afadbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 75c | 24.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…4cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…ac2abacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…70a0backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.