Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2aecc3ca41986f8e5f1a67c4d8f5bed56c10191dd5ea0c4980e66a3d61d680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $751,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 41,629$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…3cd3backed Yes | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 3c | 23,663$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 1c | 18,543$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 12,387$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.31 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 1c | 10,748$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,666$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,447$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 2c | 10,227$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes | 1c | 9,836$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 9,814$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.37 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 11c | 8,784$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,698$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…b9bbbacked Yes | 2c | 8,459$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 19c | 8,304$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 2c | 7,283$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,834$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 6,455$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d7…1314backed Yes | 1c | 5,690$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,918$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 4,661$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 3c | 3,533$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 8c | 3,235$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,216$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 6c | 3,082$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…dd2fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,824$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,714$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,700$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…3618backed Yes | 1c | 2,649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…6f3bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,320$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 10c | 2,308$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,062$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f082backed Yes | 1c | 2,036$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,017$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…cd0dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,966$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked Yes | 3c | 1,946$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,868$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…c3b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,834$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,667$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…efc9backed Yes | 13c | 1,203$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…633bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,174$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,126$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 11c | 1,055$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,005$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 905.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…093abacked Yes | 8c | 896.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…b3bfbacked Yes | 6c | 867$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 8c | 672$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 3c | 672$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…d254backed Yes | 3c | 667.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 651.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 11c | 640.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9c…c878backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Yes | 4c | 562.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…308fbacked Yes | 17c | 544.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…0880backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 8c | 310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…035ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…0cebbacked Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…6c18backed Yes | 19c | 223.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…9ac4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…8247backed Yes | 7c | 163.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…e796backed Yes | 12c | 129.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…4a57backed Yes | 15c | 100.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ecc7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.