Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfefe500c3fea4d8067f39246e4d9404a6fe0ea3040e1366d4ac02367d751c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,158,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,181,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,158,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 55,308$9,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.6 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…ea9dbacked Yes | 14c | 53,507$7,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,263.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 3c | 52,263$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.44 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…5f9dbacked Yes | 2c | 50,196$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 29c | 43,005$12,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,383.24 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 1c | 17,367$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 3c | 16,820$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.68 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7a56backed Yes | 6c | 16,104$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,348$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 4c | 14,938$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.31 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 1c | 12,983$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,803$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 2c | 11,484$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 0c | 9,291$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked No | 79c | 7,684$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…ee8dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,436$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,313$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed No | 70c | 5,700$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 80c | 5,601$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.26 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 5,594$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 17c | 5,250$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed Yes | 2c | 4,462$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Yes | 1c | 4,456$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…6e7dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…53febacked Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 2c | 4,225$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,866$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 2c | 3,594$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 16c | 3,331$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.77 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 3,239$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…eba8backed Yes | 3c | 3,210$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 23c | 3,200$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 68c | 3,089$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.9 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 2c | 3,080$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…cd0dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 2,939$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,879$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,834$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 19c | 2,584$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 2c | 2,556$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7105…b9bbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,535$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…1a22backed Yes | 12c | 2,384$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 74c | 2,154$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 19c | 2,088$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 15c | 1,959$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 9c | 1,908$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,890$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…c4c5backed Yes | 24c | 1,863$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d7…1314backed Yes | 3c | 1,788$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 57c | 1,767$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked Yes | 2c | 1,723$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 68c | 1,653$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 7c | 1,634$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 2c | 1,629$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 58c | 1,612$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…dd49backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…375abacked Yes | 5c | 1,373$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…895dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,310$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 77c | 1,300$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 4c | 1,230$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 72c | 1,211$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,161$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed Yes | 31c | 1,137$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 72c | 1,116$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 29c | 1,100$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 68c | 1,085$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…6ef3backed Yes | 41c | 1,051$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e2…7261backed Yes | 2c | 1,019$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 65c | 1,009$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…4733backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…3ad3backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 2c | 980$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 2c | 899.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…aca5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…ba69backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 765.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 67c | 749.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…3ecdbacked No | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Yes | 3c | 739.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 2c | 737.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…3455backed Yes | 2c | 692.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…c79fbacked Yes | 9c | 681.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 5c | 656.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 25c | 650$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 2c | 608.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 21c | 600$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…cd64backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.