Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c9790c8f26dd9c8cabae9dd76be37aa86a6ded7de660e1da9d19324cf618d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $935,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked No | 18c | 81,249$14,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,803.08 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 64c | 61,514$39,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,223.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 72c | 42,530$30,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.65 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 31c | 27,237$8,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,401.6 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 19c | 24,729$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 51c | 23,866$12,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,638.91 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 75c | 20,140$15,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.99 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 75c | 19,450$14,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.52 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 33c | 18,000$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.97 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 19c | 17,678$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked No | 16c | 14,377$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.85 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 21c | 14,072$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 17c | 10,002$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed No | 38c | 9,437$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 73c | 9,423$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.86 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed Yes | 65c | 8,602$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 35c | 8,200$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0b…06acbacked No | 13c | 7,016$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked Yes | 70c | 6,025$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 69c | 6,000$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 26c | 5,287$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 20c | 4,618$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.46 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 77c | 4,053$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.63 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 18c | 3,800$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.59 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 72c | 3,610$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.16 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 10c | 3,526$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 22c | 3,201$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.28 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,174$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.73 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked No | 20c | 3,125$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 68c | 3,106$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.55 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…2112backed Yes | 76c | 3,100$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…db6cbacked No | 22c | 3,017$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…acbbbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 31c | 2,874$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.67 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 7c | 2,800$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…2b30backed No | 46c | 2,702$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,544$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…f363backed No | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…fda1backed No | 11c | 2,220$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed Yes | 68c | 2,195$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 11c | 2,034$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…035ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,965$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 14c | 1,950$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 10c | 1,932$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 61c | 1,880$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 70c | 1,691$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked No | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.79 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…62b8backed Yes | 74c | 1,498$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +136%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…b534backed No | 20c | 1,493$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 22c | 1,489$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.35 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…225ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,428$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,399$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…81dfbacked Yes | 61c | 1,300$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…0a48backed No | 17c | 1,248$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,221$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 7c | 1,218$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed No | 7c | 1,206$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 69c | 1,164$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 9c | 1,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 50c | 1,158$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.63 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed No | 14c | 1,132$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f1b3backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 71c | 973.93$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…b71ebacked No | 27c | 950$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 54c | 917.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed No | 16c | 878.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4077…bdd5backed No | 13c | 875.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 55c | 851.18$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…2392backed No | 24c | 799.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…f139backed No | 15c | 758.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 19c | 734.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 68c | 730$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 69c | 728.05$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 18c | 720.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 72c | 700$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4894…aef8backed No | 34c | 698.39$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 41c | 697.67$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 7c | 673.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 19c | 649.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 66c | 636.52$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…c83fbacked No | 18c | 621.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…98aebacked Yes | 69c | 615.47$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 62c | 602.02$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 63c | 600$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 33c | 592.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…7782backed No | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 14c | 562.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.