Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeec7e5d7982f128f1c410fab3b7cd9aff6e09a2e629fe7df419bc4ec02bf419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4382…7011backed No | 0c | 76,703$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 77c | 9,715$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.18 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 79c | 7,173$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.19 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 12c | 5,925$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 16c | 4,643$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.21 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 8c | 3,766$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 30c | 3,416$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…db6cbacked No | 6c | 3,394$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,287$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 19c | 3,127$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.23 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 12c | 2,600$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.91 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 19c | 2,120$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.69 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 18c | 1,712$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 40c | 1,186$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 63c | 1,050$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 11c | 1,028$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 8c | 969.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 959.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked No | 18c | 866.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked No | 29c | 637.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…524bbacked No | 8c | 635.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…c198backed Yes | 80c | 623.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 19c | 586.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 10c | 574.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…a6d7backed No | 14c | 364.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed No | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…566cbacked No | 14c | 315.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…30b4backed Yes | 63c | 308.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 6c | 300.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed No | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 14c | 299.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…c2f0backed No | 21c | 229.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked No | 7c | 209.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…a2f2backed No | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…af13backed No | 14c | 162.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…2f7ebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 37c | 151.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed No | 41c | 148.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c3…25adbacked Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…b30ebacked No | 12c | 128.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 21c | 127.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…f139backed No | 21c | 124.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2e…8968backed Yes | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…5f0bbacked No | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…4056backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…2d2abacked No | 20c | 94.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d2…b3f2backed No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…e875backed Yes | 62c | 80.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…128bbacked No | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…2194backed Yes | 65c | 58.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…c0eabacked No | 24c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…20c8backed Yes | 62c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…e989backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…98c1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.