Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe284a52d608552290b056def0a62e1914b3ebe316407504f56f6361fafc68358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,297,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,837,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,297,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 21c | 303,370$62,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,868.79 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 14c | 299,867$42,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,797.78 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Yes | 2c | 47,617$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 43,581$8,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,135.07 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 12c | 40,562$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.11 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 12c | 38,181$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.6 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…d425backed No | 79c | 27,364$21,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 5c | 24,853$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 4c | 22,061$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.98 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 21,182$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.17 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 75c | 19,262$14,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 1c | 17,050$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked No | 69c | 16,571$11,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…035ebacked Yes | 9c | 15,696$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 19c | 15,278$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…a855backed Yes | 9c | 15,100$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 20c | 13,788$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.9 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 33c | 13,650$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.18 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked No | 76c | 11,387$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…ac62backed Yes | 7c | 11,100$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…2ec2backed Yes | 0c | 10,547$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 25c | 10,316$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 17c | 10,071$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.62 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…c309backed Yes | 16c | 9,971$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,819$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…25b0backed Yes | 21c | 9,373$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…22c4backed Yes | 20c | 9,319$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,985$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.6 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 21c | 8,848$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.61 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 12c | 7,920$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.64 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 17c | 7,856$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.08 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…3588backed Yes | 11c | 7,590$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 7,401$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 78c | 7,100$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 19c | 6,734$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.11 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…18b0backed No | 78c | 6,666$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b9…51dcbacked Yes | 34c | 6,386$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 12c | 6,003$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked No | 79c | 5,982$4,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…ab36backed Yes | 14c | 5,793$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 68c | 5,755$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Yes | 14c | 5,536$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 5,493$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.74 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 13c | 5,481$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.41 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 74c | 5,421$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.86 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 6c | 5,284$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.61 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 5,248$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.44 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,031$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…3e6ebacked No | 70c | 4,990$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…093dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,791$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 22c | 4,609$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…a137backed Yes | 10c | 4,400$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 20c | 4,355$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…3600backed Yes | 23c | 4,352$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…ab6fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…5d67backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Yes | 1c | 3,670$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 25c | 3,600$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,547$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 28c | 3,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed No | 80c | 3,300$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…328dbacked Yes | 18c | 3,272$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 3,240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…2212backed No | 69c | 3,220$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes | 26c | 3,148$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 3,062$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…3b4cbacked No | 74c | 3,059$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,017$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.27 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…6166backed Yes | 27c | 2,960$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…cd0dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,943$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 77c | 2,941$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.69 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff86…897ebacked No | 76c | 2,877$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.53 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,841$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 10c | 2,796$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,750$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…448fbacked No | 74c | 2,516$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 75c | 2,473$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…48c2backed No | 77c | 2,457$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 71c | 2,408$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.43 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 20c | 2,375$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 13c | 2,300$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…6afbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,247$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 71c | 2,229$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 5c | 2,226$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 21c | 2,191$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 2c | 2,163$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 19c | 2,086$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…7e4ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,067$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,994$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 25c | 1,975$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…2112backed No | 78c | 1,933$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed No | 80c | 1,930$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.