TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f47…d66e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,268.33
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$1,241.49
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$19,103.93
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,063.36
Spread: England (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$791.99
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$1,390.48
France vs. England: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$212.08
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,008.88
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$17,271.62
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11,171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46%+$5,137.07
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$7,228.15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.2
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4,865.81
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$442.08
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$1,926.41
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$1,012.65
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,063.2
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$5,509.86
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,206.82
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$8,238.67
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26,508Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11,245.28
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,162.71
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,904Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$1,440.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,574.8
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$921.18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,501
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$2,125.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56%+$2,457.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$3,284.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$768.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99,668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$26,067.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.