AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38f0aba5b78cfc9894826c431dc6c8b16e1dff8bb1f4ff3b9ab51d35e12cd55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,596,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,779,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,596,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 16c | 406,079$66,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,077.59 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…ab2fbacked No | 13c | 302,656$38,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,797.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…9da4backed No | 29c | 77,307$22,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,647.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 61,024$44,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,494.62 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 44,887$28,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,315.57 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…0a8cbacked No | 12c | 40,721$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.82 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 36c | 37,158$13,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,539.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 36,475$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 34,740$23,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,299.45 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 54c | 34,212$18,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,815.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 32,849$12,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,790.43 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked Yes | 69c | 23,916$16,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 23,784$6,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.73 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…0853backed Yes | 19c | 23,149$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,663.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +614.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 22,957$18,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.01 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 27c | 22,659$6,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,431.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked Yes | 78c | 21,714$16,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 16c | 19,819$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.03 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 41c | 19,119$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,219.66 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…24a6backed Yes | 79c | 18,767$14,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +378.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 18,727$14,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…15dabacked No | 5c | 17,260$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…f597backed No | 2c | 14,522$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…79d4backed Yes | 80c | 14,096$11,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…4288backed No | 24c | 13,988$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 69c | 13,508$9,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 32c | 13,383$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.61 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…2800backed No | 18c | 13,333$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 5c | 12,764$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.7 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…61b4backed No | 7c | 12,172$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.7 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 19c | 11,569$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed No | 17c | 11,109$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.93 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 33c | 11,025$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.37 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 10,504$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.32 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…3477backed Yes | 54c | 10,490$5,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aba…9e7cbacked Yes | 48c | 10,452$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…8669backed Yes | 19c | 10,073$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,143.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +421.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 9,817$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.47 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 79c | 9,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 73c | 8,815$6,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 11c | 8,697$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…e288backed Yes | 79c | 8,517$6,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 23c | 8,412$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,502.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 78c | 8,383$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 8c | 8,150$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 58c | 8,020$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.8 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Yes | 67c | 8,000$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.97 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 7,893$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.91 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 39c | 7,859$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.04 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed Yes | 63c | 7,488$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 79c | 7,241$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.68 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138b…0467backed No | 31c | 6,568$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 45c | 6,551$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…92b1backed Yes | 43c | 6,537$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 17c | 6,276$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 15c | 6,216$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.82 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…9ffdbacked Yes | 22c | 6,181$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +361.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 6,100$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 51c | 5,965$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.56 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 12c | 5,953$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.37 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…5b57backed Yes | 10c | 5,902$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +387.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…1eecbacked No | 10c | 5,808$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 40c | 5,739$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.17 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…7a56backed Yes | 12c | 5,555$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +744.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 5,549$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.5 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked No | 10c | 5,502$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 48c | 5,366$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…4174backed Yes | 68c | 5,166$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 17c | 5,067$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 8c | 5,010$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4f41backed No | 18c | 5,000$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 66c | 4,780$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f56fbacked No | 12c | 4,725$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 75c | 4,700$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 59c | 4,693$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.16 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…5876backed Yes | 77c | 4,567$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 15c | 4,504$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 46c | 4,496$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.41 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 21c | 4,428$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 9c | 4,400$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 70c | 4,400$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…1dc7backed Yes | 70c | 4,385$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 68c | 4,272$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed Yes | 75c | 4,246$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 79c | 4,158$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5d22backed No | 23c | 4,149$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 40c | 4,128$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 22c | 3,999$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.87 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 3,974$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 44c | 3,943$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.05 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…a833backed Yes | 75c | 3,875$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…db24backed Yes | 4c | 3,805$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +1,179.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 74c | 3,764$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3349backed Yes | 56c | 3,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 19c | 3,500$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 35c | 3,462$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.94 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 76c | 3,400$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…7577backed Yes | 73c | 3,354$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.