TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f29…0760

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
326
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT9443.6%41 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$714
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+407.5%+$2,729.98
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$642
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$904
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$468.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.37
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$47.2
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$153.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$138
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$542
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$577
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.43
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$166.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.5
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$497
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$330
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$165
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$354
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.1%+$62
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$186
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.4
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+204.4%+$469.99
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$109.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+30.9%+$897
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$156
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$741.97
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$288
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$114.72
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$107.6
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$298.99
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.9%+$388.81
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.4%+$123
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.65
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$567.5
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$119.9
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$374
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,015.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+89.2%+$848.59
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$559
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+62.3%+$96
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.7%+$304.99
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.3%+$143.6
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$347.6
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.4%+$41.8
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$124.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.9
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38%+$821.82
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$1,439.99
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$304
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$151.99
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30%+$92.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$41
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$353.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+57.3%+$328
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.1%+$326
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$183.99
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$314
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+32%+$230.29
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58.99
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+131.5%+$170.41
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$78.34
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$485.24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$106.2
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$227.66
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.13
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$268
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$897.49
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.7%+$354.99
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25.9%+$73.75
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.5%+$59.6
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$228.64
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$675
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$446
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.2%+$166.5
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.1%+$343
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$182.5
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$808
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$104.9
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$365
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$109
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61%+$151.6
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$75.4
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.6%+$139.6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.8%+$298.1
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,815Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+50.9%+$923.55
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$216.3
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$207.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.99
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.8%+$155.8
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+280.4%+$810.16
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$320
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.4%+$56.5
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$332.49
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$436.5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$81
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$123.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$1,062
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+39%+$112.14
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+257.8%+$288.2
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$662.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$251
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$250
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.28
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$112
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$225.29
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100.8%+$250.99
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$396
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$388.8
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$338
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$675.06
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,418
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$596
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+126%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$171.1
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+1,251.4%+$231.5
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+36.1%+$225.5
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.9%+$382.39
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$420.5
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$66
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.7%+$23.5
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.7%+$23.5
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25.8%+$61.5
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$272
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$105
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+52.3%+$103
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$4,080.16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$1,029.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,017.32
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$174
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.