Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a6fa4754394c10d598304f5a28d8a9dfdf8f5834aba9c9080157c8d0d41eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 4c | 15,764$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…c2bfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,839$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 3c | 5,698$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked No | 64c | 5,340$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…7869backed Yes | 2c | 4,982$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…9b40backed Yes | 1c | 4,951$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…66adbacked Yes | 2c | 4,944$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…116fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,439$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 4,362$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,295$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 3c | 3,660$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,617$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 4c | 3,407$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 48c | 3,120$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,851$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,827$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 54c | 2,800$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…5e00backed Yes | 1c | 2,710$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 47c | 2,419$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 68c | 2,364$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 2,314$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,271$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…2f53backed Yes | 1c | 2,260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 3cpaid | +388.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 2,113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 11c | 1,896$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…2786backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 3c | 1,611$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 54c | 1,605$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,601$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…5f6dbacked No | 65c | 1,594$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,566$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.3 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 39c | 1,500$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 2c | 1,445$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,362$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…2198backed Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 35c | 1,345$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked No | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…51c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,262$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 1c | 1,260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…f839backed Yes | 2c | 1,131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…2ce7backed Yes | 3c | 1,074$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,037$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…9457backed Yes | 50c | 1,020$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 48c | 989.26$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 62c | 963.44$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…9b89backed Yes | 2c | 943.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 888.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 37c | 853.28$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaac…7021backed Yes | 6c | 837.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…6180backed No | 61c | 813.63$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 19c | 800.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 50c | 740.34$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…6a33backed Yes | 7c | 739.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…87d7backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37e…5411backed Yes | 39c | 703.27$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 69c | 698$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 670.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…bf5ebacked No | 59c | 663.54$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…6307backed Yes | 6c | 660$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 45c | 649.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…87a7backed Yes | 63c | 638.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked No | 65c | 623.88$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…ad2bbacked Yes | 2c | 617.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 24c | 601.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 30c | 592.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…857fbacked Yes | 3c | 585.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 67c | 583.72$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes | 55c | 545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…66a5backed Yes | 4c | 543.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 542.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…4d53backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07da…8d63backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…2510backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…58dbbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 49c | 473$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 54c | 455.18$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…6242backed Yes | 3c | 436.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 59c | 425.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…5048backed No | 49c | 421.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…7651backed Yes | 2c | 411.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yes | 12c | 409.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 66c | 407.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…6e39backed Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…5b73backed No | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked No | 62c | 394.77$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…76e3backed Yes | 3c | 390.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 376.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 42c | 358.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…f7f4backed Yes | 63c | 349.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9150…26f4backed Yes | 3c | 339.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked No | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…4464backed Yes | 6c | 318.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…ef96backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.