TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeee4…1cef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$122.21
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$294.28
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+99.1%+$101.13
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$95.6
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Will Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.5%+$46.87
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+113.6%+$93.17
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Algeria vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.5%+$72.82
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Mali win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.38
Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$62.78
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+102.7%+$106.39
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+116.1%+$411
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.5%+$56.54
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+99.7%+$64.9
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$9.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+143.4%+$130.49
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+180.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$54.35
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$182
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.