Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10cc977cfb62509700c9c93282775798edd1dd774944e62750375bbb2953f65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 37c | 37,367$13,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,396.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed No | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 14,181$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.25 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 31c | 12,832$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.79 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 44c | 12,247$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,813.55 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 56c | 11,427$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 10,720$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.47 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 47c | 9,939$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.82 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 54c | 9,886$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,338.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 53c | 9,884$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 8,146$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.83 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 8,066$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.31 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 48c | 7,722$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 57c | 7,162$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 6,951$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.3 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked No | 47c | 6,650$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 6,307$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 46c | 6,251$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.95 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Yes | 55c | 5,408$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 50c | 4,644$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.32 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 54c | 4,100$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 51c | 3,752$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 53c | 3,116$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.69 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 54c | 3,057$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.51 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…503cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,920$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 79c | 2,892$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 46c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.67 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 59c | 1,975$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Yes | 49c | 1,491$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 43c | 1,431$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 54c | 1,328$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…3296backed Yes | 49c | 1,199$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,116$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 54c | 1,030$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 44c | 1,011$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 51c | 972.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 958$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.32 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 54c | 926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 53c | 886.32$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 876.22$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 54c | 873.24$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 47c | 848.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 678.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.15 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 55c | 666.67$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 50c | 664$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 55c | 657.93$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.95 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 48c | 605.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 70c | 594.24$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 50c | 579$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 45c | 576.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 564.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…5e35backed Yes | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed Yes | 16c | 555.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 552$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 48c | 540.83$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 79c | 524.66$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 50c | 503.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 46c | 499.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 490$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 53c | 477$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 43c | 465.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 53c | 465$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 54c | 453.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Yes | 53c | 450.94$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 45c | 446.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 56c | 435.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.