Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf03f65b46c7a46976c981a2c6b57a27e429e2e1fd43c72a2f7374687845ca4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 20c | 8,747$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.03 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 5,177$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 19c | 4,021$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.28 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 80c | 3,963$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.15 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 21c | 3,500$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.99 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 2,913$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.75 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 80c | 2,795$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 17c | 2,781$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038e…d37bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,306$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 20c | 1,900$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 79c | 1,672$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 2c | 814.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 20c | 752$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 2c | 729.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 702$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 20c | 666.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 80c | 649.3$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 20c | 570.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 22c | 519.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 20c | 495$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 21c | 465.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 79c | 449.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…54a8backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 360$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 22c | 330.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 304$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 80c | 287.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 23c | 277.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 78c | 255.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 220.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 23c | 220.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 11c | 206.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 79c | 169.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 169.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 165$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 21c | 161.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 159.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 23c | 144.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 23c | 130.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 79c | 127.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 127.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 16c | 124.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 79c | 119.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 97.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes | 24c | 88.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…ae80backed Yes | 21c | 81.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Yes | 23c | 80.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 23c | 65.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…3bd9backed No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 19c | 60.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.